Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[AJS]

MEG Memphis Nws is very concened
About Tuesday s threat

If MEG is concerned, we got something on our hands here.

 

[Ozonelayer]

18z 3KM NAM for Monday night...dear lord...

 

[UncleJuJu98]

MEG Memphis Nws is very concened
About Tuesday s threat

I definitely see why. Concerning day

 

[TornadoFan]

View attachment 42102

18z 3KM NAM...dear lord...

 

[Maxis_s]

View attachment 42102

18z 3KM NAM for Monday night...dear lord...

The NAM 3km showing a line of semi-discrete supercells with OWS supercells is not what I ever expected to see.

 

[Ozonelayer]

The NAM 3km showing a line of semi-discrete supercells with OWS supercells is not what I ever expected to see.

Of all models I expect the HRRR to stir up this madness, not the one that has a linear bias!

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

SVR storm east Lawton at 40k+ tops

 

[US_Highway15]

Supercell around Rush Springs looks like it *wants* to produce something. Definitely starting to spin.

 

[AJS]

Supercell around Rush Springs looks like it *wants* to produce something. Definitely starting to spin.
View attachment 42113

If it produces anything, it’ll take it right into the Blanchard/Norman area.

 

[KCweatherboy]

I need to look that up. I do recall girard f4.

On 5/4/03 Kansas City had 2 F4s, there was 1 F4 in NE OK/SW MO, and 1 F4 in TN. That along with a number of other F2s and F3s in KS, MO, OK, AR, TN, and probably a few other states I'm forgetting

 

[Ozonelayer]

The NAM 3km showing a line of semi-discrete supercells with OWS supercells is not what I ever expected to see.

Took a sounding right in front of a OWS supercell in KS...

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

On 5/4/03 Kansas City had 2 F4s, there was 1 F4 in NE OK/SW MO, and 1 F4 in TN. That along with a number of other F2s and F3s in KS, MO, OK, AR, TN, and probably a few other states I'm forgetting

The ef4 was in my town I was in that bad boy. Jackson tn. I almost got little to close to it lol. That was a multiple vortex

 

[tornado examiner]

View attachment 42102

18z 3KM NAM for Monday night...dear lord...

(Oh….okay then.)

 

[TornadoFan]

That Oklahoma storm is moving into an significant tornado parameter of 7.

 

[Ozonelayer]

That Oklahoma storm is moving into an significant tornado parameter of 7.

Its also in a VTP bullseye of 18. If anything drops it could be strong.

 

[Maxis_s]

That Oklahoma storm is moving into an significant tornado parameter of 7.

Ideal hodograph shape with a decent amount of helicity + nearly 6k SBCAPE should let it produce something probably.

 

[Ozonelayer]

It looks like its trying to have a left split, wonder what it's trying to do.

 

[Maxis_s]

It looks like its trying to have a left split, wonder what it's trying to do.

The right split is also turning even more rightward, which probably means more SRH. Right split is forming a hook and is starting to rotate a little more on the lower levels. Definitely needs paying attention to.

 

[Ozonelayer]

The right split is also turning even more rightward, which probably means more SRH. Right split is forming a hook and is starting to rotate a little more on the lower levels. Definitely needs paying attention to.

Speaking of which, tornado warning on that cell.

 

[TornadoFan]

Tornado warned now.