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Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

It has nothing to do with politics for me. I'm no trump fan. The assertion that a tore wasn't issued tonight because there was a shortage of interns and probationary employees in Jackson, MO is patently false. Staffing at NWS offices has been an issue long before trump was elected. People here who know the truth...they know. We need to stop hijacking important breaking weather threads to take political pot shots.
Totally agree.
 
Tornado Warnings for the Somerset-London-Manchester storm have expired. Replaced by an SVR + tornado possible tag. Same goes for the storm to its west.
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Small SVA issued for parts of Arkansas, Mississippi.
 
Hopefully they can bring in additional airlift from nearby districts. Medical helis are super important in rural or hard-to-reach areas. They still serve their purpose and we see them often flying out here in the Atlanta area.
Thankfully, Lexington is close and they have some good facilities to include a children’s hospital.
 
Main focus for convection overall will probably shift into TN and northern MS. Currently, hodographs are fairly curved, but they're expected to become increasingly linear with time. Best chance for tornadoes from the QLCS/MCS activity would probably be AR/TN/MS triple point for the next several hours. After that, predominantly a damaging wind event with some embedded tornadoes perhaps. Unique factor here will be instability on the order of 1,000-1,500 j/kg across large swaths of the Southeast all the way through sunrise, which will keep storms going for a while.
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