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Severe Weather Threat 4/28-4/30

atrainguy said:
Apparently this was this morning.

Click to expand...

Believe that’s a shelf cloud that just happens to look like a funnel. I work in Springfield and it’s really bad in the northern part of town and towns further southwest got hit really hard. Power companies are saying it could be days before power is back. Really crazy considering we were barely in the 15% wind and 2% tornadoes and we got tornadoes and 90-100 MPH winds
 
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
North Texas

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 615 PM
until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms including some embedded/semi-discrete
supercells will continue to focus along a boundary, moving generally
east-northeastward across the region this evening. This will likely
have an increasing tornado risk this evening, with a continued large
hail risk, and increasing damaging winds as potential MCS
development occurs later this evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Sherman
TX to 115 miles west southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
 
Jbop said:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
North Texas

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 615 PM
until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms including some embedded/semi-discrete
supercells will continue to focus along a boundary, moving generally
east-northeastward across the region this evening. This will likely
have an increasing tornado risk this evening, with a continued large
hail risk, and increasing damaging winds as potential MCS
development occurs later this evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Sherman
TX to 115 miles west southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
Click to expand...
A 5% tornado risk area with a pretty strong tornado watch(50%/30%). If you remember the Greensburg 2007 EF5 tornado was only a 50%/30% risk when it happened and that day was a Moderate Risk. I had to correct a NWS employee for saying the tornado watch for the Greensburg tornado was not a PDS as he said. It was a pretty strong tornado watch but it was certainly not a PDS. After that he was mean when I talked to him one more time and never spoke with him again after that last conversation with him.
 
Aaron Rider said:
Yeah. Should be here in my neck of the woods in two or so hours. Thanks for the heads up.
Click to expand...
Well, that was a monumental disappointment at least in southern PA. It rained for maybe five minutes.

Understand we badly need rain. The Michaux State Forest, for example, has seen historic wildfires (nothing compared to out west, of course) after, as I understand it, a proscribed burn to contain clear cut slash got out of control (I'm not going to comment on either 1) leaving slash sit that long or 2) doing your proscribed burn in the middle of a bad drought in spring when Pennsylvania woods are often pretty dry... I've got nothing against proscribed burns. In fact, I think American forestry needs more. But, yeah....).
 
Rotation that prompted the Wichita Falls TOR faded, but it's folded back into a likely new mesocyclone. Big population and significant areal spread of urban/suburban settlement.
1745975385771.png
 
Really starting to turn into a kinky QLCS-tornado threat across the extent of this line. Little couplets springing up everywhere in the last 3-4 scans. Burkburnett looks particularly interesting.
1745975731379.png

Kds86z said:
Same storm that had that pds?
Click to expand...
A descendant of that one, it looks like.
 
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