Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[Maxis_s]

Convection is far less messy than models have been showing and parameters have been overperforming models. Cloud cover has also been keeping overmixing at bay.
Long day ahead.

 

[tigerman29]

Hi all. Long-time lurker from the Jackson, Tennessee area. Just wanted to share that in addition to all of the potential severe weather and flooding, we also have potential issues with blowing dust along the Mississippi River in Arkansas.

 

[Wind Driven Coconut]

I don’t have the iPad talents to post it here, but the continental satellite (especially water vapor) is an absolute site to behold. The trough is just mammoth…

 

[tornado examiner]

Morning intense tornado. Looks like at least EF3 damage.

 

[Keldeo]

PDS Watch coming.

 

[Kds86z]

Look to western AR. Possible tornado tag ..

 

[Maxis_s]

No thanks, I'll pass.

 

[Kds86z]

Morning intense tornado. Looks like at least EF3 damage.

So many ef3s in MO already..

 

[jiharris0220]

View attachment 38445
Hi all. Long-time lurker from the Jackson, Tennessee area. Just wanted to share that in addition to all of the potential severe weather and flooding, we also have potential issues with blowing dust along the Mississippi River in Arkansas.

Speaking of which.

 

[Maxis_s]

Look to western AR. Possible tornado tag ..

Definitely trying to wrap up. It's in a pretty good environment (STP of 3 on mesoanalysis) so I think a tornado is definitely possible on this one.

 

[Bulkshear]

Honestly the high risk may need to be pushed more east


View attachment 38447

Yeah I’ve been implying just that but I’m sure there is a reason the SPC hasn’t. They are the professionals, not me.

 

[Keldeo]

Storm NE of Mena looks like its ready to go.

 

[Smokedevil]

Got some showers trying to pop near corinth ms. Could be the start.

 

[Maxis_s]

Storm NE of Mena looks like its ready to go.

Definitely is. The mesocyclone is extremely impressive on the upper levels and will probably translate downwards over the next half-hour, perhaps sooner than that.

 

[Clancy]

I don’t have the iPad talents to post it here, but the continental satellite (especially water vapor) is an absolute site to behold. The trough is just mammoth…

Gotcha covered.

 

[172556]

Speaking of which.

Memphis needs to issue a fecal matter emergency.

 

[Maxis_s]

Looks like the cap has completely eroded. Storms should start to fire pretty soon, especially when the T/Td spread shrinks.

 

[Ledian]

Away from the main area of concern, there's golf ball size hail with a storm going through downtown Pittsburgh

 

[Maxis_s]

Away from the main area of concern, there's golf ball size hail with a storm going through downtown Pittsburgh

Only a 5% hail risk there, that's impressive.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Away from the main area of concern, there's golf ball size hail with a storm going through downtown Pittsburgh

Can confirm.