Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[Kds86z]

The issue is there’s almost absolutely zero forcing in the OWS. We like to see subtle forcing, but I don’t think you can even call it that. It seems to all depend on that broken line that’s slowly moving east. If the cap gives way, more storms will go up and fill in that line. That broken line will most likely be your main show

Yeah I was just gonna post about what forcing do we got for OWS..

 

[ColdFront]

Yeah I was just gonna post about what forcing do we got for OWS..

You would have to hope for something, the upper level support is off to the north. Maybe confluence? Or if a prefrontal trough sets up.

 

[Kds86z]

The HRRR on cod looks worse. Bad scenario. If the 15z is true. 2+ long track supercells in the OWS

What states?

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[Bulkshear]

What states?

Tennessee for one and outside the highest risk areas. I’d also be weary in KY, MS, and AL

 

[Bulkshear]

The HRRR on cod looks worse. Bad scenario. If the 15z is true. 2+ long track supercells in the OWS

Yes this would be very bad. No competing cells and they could take full advantage of the OWS. The stronger tornadoes would be here if this verifies

 

[lake.effect]

New day 2 outlook should be coming soon and I'm very interested to see what the SPC comes out with

 

[Parker Copeland]

Lets hope that lack of forcing saves us. cuz if it happens and discretes happen, hella issues

 

[Jimruns]

You would have to hope for something, the upper level support is off to the north. Maybe confluence? Or if a prefrontal trough sets up.

Is there any possibility of weak surface low development somewhere along the cold front?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

New day 2 outlook should be coming soon and I'm very interested to see what the SPC comes out with

Me too, the HRRR look for central and southern Arkansas is probably one of the worst radar signatures I've seen in that area.

What states?

 

[MichelleH]

Even though we have no storms predicted, it feels very "off" here in HSV. Weird mix of wind and humidity that even my 7yo commented on.

So, this isn't scientific at all, but I have asthma, and my breathing today is off like we're going to have storms. Also, the wasps are going wild, which also indicates storms. I'm really worried somewhere is going to get a nasty surprise.

 

[ColdFront]

Is there any possibility of weak surface low development somewhere along the cold front?

I don’t see any possibility of that happening currently

 

[Maxis_s]

Me too, the HRRR look for central and southern Arkansas is probably one of the worst radar signatures I've seen in that area.

View attachment 38420

That's way ahead of the line. I don't feel great about today, at all in fact.

 

[Bulkshear]

Me too, the HRRR look for central and southern Arkansas is probably one of the worst radar signatures I've seen in that area.

View attachment 38420

Bro that shows a tornadic cell going right over my house.

 

[Kds86z]

First severe warning out of Arkansas

 

[cg9450]

Bro that shows a tornadic cell going right over my house.

our houses

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Me too, the HRRR look for central and southern Arkansas is probably one of the worst radar signatures I've seen in that area.

View attachment 38420

Yeah, that'd verify the high most likely

 

[Maxis_s]

That's less than ideal

 

[172556]

Bro that shows a tornadic cell going right over my house.

HRRR doing it to me too, and I'm in slight risk.

 

[Smokedevil]

Really reminds me of a tragic (and incredibly bizarre) situation that once unfolded in Jackson, TN…

A memorial was set up to commemorate the victims of an F4 tornado that struck the city in 1999… said memorial was then directly struck by another F4 tornado in 2003.

A man in Smithville ms owned a piggly wiggly. It got demolished in 2011 by the EF5.

Fast forward to 2023. Same man owned a different piggly wiggly in amory ms. It got demolished by the EF3