Keldeo
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- North Little Rock
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Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event
- Thread starter Bulkshear
- Start date
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tennessee storm chaser
Member
Yes sir. I promise. If I get on good one. I love west tn. …. Probably heading up Missouri bootheel first waiting on some
Sounding a from my partner
- Messages
- 6,437
- Location
- Birmingham
Isn't the 15z HRRR usually supposed to be a downtrend?
Kds86z
Member
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- 4,321
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- Greencastle, PA
But treys analysis showed a solid squallMaybe broyles is a genius after all, his foresight is impeccable lol
I’ve asked myself multiple times today what sort of “beverage” Broyles may have had before that pink sharpie moment, but if those storms stay broken and don’t fill in, plus maybe a few OWS cells, the man will look like a savantMaybe broyles is a genius after all, his foresight is impeccable lol
- Messages
- 871
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- Kansas
Maybe broyles is a genius after all, his foresight is impeccable lol
Schoeppeya
Member
- Messages
- 115
- Location
- Oklahoma
NWA strorm probably needs a tor warning, velocities really starting to ramp up
I'm gonna guess the NWS/SPC has internal experimental models that give them a lot more insight than the general public has. I know they had something that gave an hour or two of lead time for the Greenfield tornado and pinpointed almost exactly its location, so we definitely do know that they have special models.
TornadoFan
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- 5,237
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- Colorado
UpperLevelLOL
Member
- Messages
- 361
- Location
- Edmond, OK
Ominous banana
TornadoFan
Member
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- 5,237
- Location
- Colorado
Not good when blips get that shape already
Parker Copeland
Member
- Messages
- 0
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
models are unseasonably dry and show a line, however, I assume SPC knew this and is why they agreed on the high risk upgrade
My word this is the best picture ever. It’s even better than the meme of him coming out on stage or the Bob Ross Broyles
tennessee storm chaser
Member
This don’t look linear to me this setup sorry. Not saying discrete party either yet anyways
Bulkshear
Member
- Messages
- 218
- Location
- Murfreesboro TN
The issue is there’s almost absolutely zero forcing in the OWS. We like to see subtle forcing, but I don’t think you can even call it that. It seems to all depend on that broken line that’s slowly moving east. If the cap gives way, more storms will go up and fill in that line. That broken line will most likely be your main show
Parker Copeland
Member
- Messages
- 0
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
we have weak lapse rates rn. but those will improve to a ton in 4hrs time, so that may be the timeframe to watch
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- 6,437
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- Birmingham
The HRRR on cod looks worse. Bad scenario. If the 15z is true. 2+ long track supercells in the OWS