Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[TornadoFan]

Watonga storm looking unimpressive.

 

[Ozonelayer]

I'm back, I see that I've missed a bit.

However, the northern cell appears to be noticeably healthier than the southern one. Likely going to be a good short-term focus.

 

[ColdFront]

Current environment of the Ames cell (red bars)

 

[TornadoFan]

Tops are now up to 46,000 feet, according to RadarOmega.

 

[snostorm21]

Velocity getting concerning.

 

[wx_guy]

Current environment of the Ames cell (red bars)

View attachment 38252

Very robust environment if it can take advantage of it. The LCL is a bit too high for easy tornadogenesis though.

 

[US_Highway15]

Velocity getting concerning.View attachment 38253

You're pretty far away from the storm looking at OKC. I'd go to KVNX.

 

[wx_guy]

Velocity getting concerning.View attachment 38253

I think that rotation is outside the cell itself. I'm not sure, but it looks impressive, but I don't buy it just yet.

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Velocity getting concerning.View attachment 38253

Use KVNX, it’s a lot closer and the rotation is not that pronounced

 

[snostorm21]

Yep, whoops sorry about that. Still interested in that cell. Definitely some potential for tornadogenesis with it.

 

[wx_guy]

I'm running my WRF-ARW model for the threat Wednesday - Friday, but I noticed this while getting that post ready --- > This is at 01z tonight, showing an appreciable tornado risk in far eastern OK

 

[US_Highway15]

Storm just went warned.

 

[wx_guy]

SVR for that cell now. It's forming a hail core and looks like it could be the first "winner" of the day

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Pretty good hodo out of KVNX in the area of that storm

 

[Tennie]

The Ames cell now has a Severe Thunderstorm Warning on it:

542
WUUS54 KOUN 012252
SVROUN
OKC047-053-071-093-103-012330-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0052.250401T2252Z-250401T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
552 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Kay County in northern Oklahoma...
Northwestern Noble County in northern Oklahoma...
Southeastern Grant County in northern Oklahoma...
Garfield County in northern Oklahoma...
East central Major County in northwestern Oklahoma...

* Until 630 PM CDT.

* At 552 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Drummond,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Ceres, Hunter, Garber, Enid, Vance Air Force Base, Lamont, Lahoma,
Waukomis, Drummond, Breckenridge, Billings, Deer Creek, Fairmont,
Kremlin, and North Enid.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect for the warned area.

&&

LAT...LON 3618 9804 3632 9818 3684 9755 3648 9721
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 231DEG 46KT 3631 9804

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Ware

 

[Muwx]

The base is so small and it doesn't appear that its going to get any help from mergers. Its all we got for the moment, but I am far from convinced this is going to do anything impressive

 

[wx_guy]

At 9 PM tonight, according to my model:

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Storm northwest of Oklahoma city has a developing meso it looks like. (Maybe clutter at second glance; not sure)

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Here comes the left split to ruin the SE KS environment

 

[TornadoFan]

Pretty good hodo out of KVNX in the area of that storm View attachment 38256