Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[cg9450]

That Oak Ridge couplet is terrifying. There’s a nuclear reactor there

Literally sitting right there on top of the plant.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

They extended what was the demopolis AL tornado warning. Now into Brent. Low level rotation is not impressive

 

[MMWX]

Sorry, just caught up and found out Nadocast has a death outlook available for public consumption.

Nadocast unironically having an outlook dedicated specifically to forecasting deaths is so awful.

Nadocast should NEVER be used as a legitimate weather model, and having a death forecast and posting it for public use is fearmongering to the absolute max.

Nadocast should never be posted in here, and it should never be shared anywhere. You are giving fearmongering a platform if you do.

https://talkweather.com/threads/nadocast-tor-life-risk-day-discussion.2372/

I created a separate thread for this if anyone has anything further to add to the discussion.

 

[Clancy]

Storms in northern Georgia are rotating.

 

[The Colonel]

Probably 1/3rd as high of a scan for the Brent storm from GWX but it’s absolutely spinning pretty well

 

[keithGA]

Storms in northern Georgia are rotating.

Little mini spinnys.

 

[Tyler Penland]

Storms in northern Georgia are rotating.

Anything with a pulse is rotating today.

 

[Argus]

MUCAPE seems high over east Georgia. We've had sunshine and clouds all afternoon. It was overcast during our trip to the store, but when Brittany and I left work, we saw cumulus clouds that were starting to tower a bit.

 

[andyhb]

Current MUCAPE situation according to the SPC. Not really looking like enough to support strong tornadoes for long.

View attachment 36362

This is misinformation. 1000 CAPE (heck, even 500) is more than enough to support strong tornadoes given sufficient shear (which is in abundance today).

 

[MikeP]

What is the reason for such intense lightning in what looks otherwise to be relatively benign storms currently - minus our warned storm?

 

[akt1985]

The PDS Tornado Watch will expire soon for north Alabama. It will be interesting to see if north Alabama is included in the new Tornado Watch coming for the rest of Alabama and Georgia.

 

[Justin Hindman]

See if this link works to show where our car got struck by lightning i

 

[Equus]

Cells getting more structure out around Sylacauga and Goodwater; might be an area to watch

 

[keithGA]

FFC AFD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
817 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Issued at 802 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

A Tornado Watch is in effect for portions of far north and
northwest Georgia. A few discrete thunderstorms have begun to
develop in this region, which are currently shallow but
nonetheless exhibiting a supercellular structure with broad
rotation within. This tracks logically with strong shear and 0-1
km updraft helicity values increasing to 300-350 m2/s2. Surface-
based instability appears to be the limiting factor across the
far north at this time, though strong winds and a brief tornado
could still be a threat if these storms are able to tap into any
SBCAPE. It should be noted that the 850 mb low-level jet remains
to the west of the forecast area over central Alabama. As the LLJ
continues to spread eastward into our forecast area, surface
instability and low level shear will increase, leading to a more
favorable severe weather environment ahead of the the main line of
convection, which is looking likely to advance into the western
edge of our forecast area by around 02-03Z.

 

[AJS]

New tornado warning in Tennessee. Located near Ozone.

 

[StormStalker]

These storms have been efficient rain producers. Lots of flooding.

 

[Tanner]

This is misinformation. 1000 CAPE (heck, even 500) is more than enough to support strong tornadoes given sufficient shear (which is in abundance today).

Why do you think today struggled in some areas Andy?

 

[Argus]

FFC is ready to take over if BMX has to take cover. BMX requested the SPC expedite their update, as well. This is according to James Spann.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Might be some shenanigans going on around Brent Alabama with that storm.

 

[AJS]

Cells getting more structure out around Sylacauga and Goodwater; might be an area to watch

Any supercell that taps into that area shouldn’t have a problem getting going.