Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[jiharris0220]

Mid levels are beginning to desaturate, the precip around these cells will only continue to dry out.

The storm mode around the southern end of the dryline will remain semi discrete for the rest of the night.

As highlighted by the NWS, violent tornadoes aren’t out of the question still.

 

[Kds86z]

Mid levels are beginning to desaturate, the precip around these cells will only continue to dry out.

The storm mode around the southern end of the dryline will remain semi discrete for the rest of the night.

As highlighted by the SPC, violent tornadoes aren’t out of the question still.

Though they said “strong”

 

[TornadoFan]

That storm in Alabama just went tornado warned.

 

[KevinH]

I think an Eye Roll Reaction would be fantastic. By the way here is a noisy comment:

Oh @JayF lol

How long before we can have an eye roll reaction? I want to go through this thread and use…. I mean test it out

 

[UncleJuJu98]

At minimum a severe thunderstorm warning. Unless it is cycling, it may not do anything. But I see your point.

Just went tornado warned

 

[KevinH]

The ceiling of the event has been conditional on storm mode throughout the event today. That’s what people were getting at this morning. Still a bad outbreak though, and we’re not out of the woods quite yet.

Alright…. I don’t remember them using the word conditional until now, but that makes sense now. Ty

 

[JayF]

Just went tornado warned

Yep I deleted my own post because twice today when I replied to similar it went TW. Crazy. I am usually not that bad at this LOL.

 

[tornado examiner]

Though they said “strong”

Still got 150-170 mph tag on the mesoscale discussion

 

[jiharris0220]

Though they said “strong”

I know, but the 170mph upper limit of the MD means that there’s still a chance, albeit a small chance of a violent tornado or two.

It’s a wait and see scenario.

 

[KevinH]

It helps to remember that large numbers of our fellow Americans are quite stupid when it comes to anything outside of their interest areas or daily patterns. Not a uniquely American phenomenon, but as with many things we are upper tier when it comes to our inability to see beyond our own isolated self-interest.

Stupid may not be the best word to use.

Perhaps “ignorant” would be better? lol

 

[AJS]

This is about to take off any minute now.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Yep I deleted my own post because twice today when I replied to similar it went TW. Crazy. I am usually not that bad at this LOL

Not sure if it'll rapidly intensify, but it definitely has the best chance of any storms in Alabama right now

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm west of State Line might be worth keeping an eye on. It's getting that look.

 

[Bama Ravens]

What do you mean underperform? The “performance” in Alabama is JUST getting started.

Well, so far we haven’t had many violent tornadoes of the truly “long-track” variety in Alabama. I was also worried there would be a point where there were so many tornado warnings in Alabama at once that it would be hard to keep up with them, but that hasn’t been the case.

I’m not calling this a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency or being critical of the forecast. I’m just saying that I’m glad that *so far* it hasn’t been as terrible in Alabama as we feared it could be.

 

[AJS]

Storm west of State Line might be worth keeping an eye on. It's getting that look.

What town/city is it near??

 

[JayF]

Not sure if it'll rapidly intensify, but it definitely has the best chance of any storms in Alabama right now

I do see it intensifying. Not sure how much it is rotating but I see it.

 

[TornadoFan]

What town/city is it near??

Leakesville, MS.

 

[The Colonel]

2 circulations on the demopolis storm - this is the best shot C AL has with a major threat

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Connie croff is chasing the demopolis tornado warning

 

[AJS]

Storm north of Waynesboro continues to look very impressive. Needs to closely be monitored.