Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[buckeye05]

they've steadily been increasing their insistence (driven by increased confidence) that a tornado outbreak will occur across the high risk area - not a hail/straight-line wind outbreak

I mean yeah that’s been apparent for multiple days at this point. The “hail and wind outbreak” scenario hasn’t been the likely outcome for some time. The main question has been how bad.

 

[atrainguy]

So am I understanding right that tomorrow's storms will fire off mid afternoon, as opposed to the primarily nocturnal threat tonight?

 

[Maxis_s]

Anyone want some lightning?

 

[buckeye05]

Two injuries and multiple structures damaged in Des Arc, MO. Was hoping it lifted over town but doesn’t sound like it.

 

[atrainguy]

PDS in Illinois now!

 

[CheeselandSkies]

According to KAIT it sounds like a tornado did hit Paragould, AR although CC was somewhat inconclusive when it went over the city. The on-air meteorologist lives in town and his son was on the phone saying their house had (minor) damage.

 

[atrainguy]

 

[The Colonel]

Want to know how good the hrrr is?

It has the exact placement of the MS supercell lowering STP levels compared to *everything else*

 

[atrainguy]

This rotation looks teeny tiny after seeing the monsters earlier.

 

[Evan]

The new mesoscale discussion notwithstanding...it does appear things have calmed down a bit. Since I'm going to be under gun tomorrow it is time to get some rest.

What an evening. Praying that tomorrow has an unexpected failure and massively underperforms.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

This is right on top of a certain track from 2021...



Because why not, let's have flashbacks to ALL the monster tornado events.

 

[VolRunner393]

The new mesoscale discussion notwithstanding...it does appear things have calmed down a bit. Since I'm going to be under gun tomorrow it is time to get some rest.

What an evening. Praying that tomorrow has an unexpected failure and massively underperforms.

I agree. With the moderate risk creeping into southern Middle TN, I'm hoping that isn't a sign of things potentially getting worse in my backyard in East TN.

 

[atrainguy]

Ryan Hall's stream reports the Grenada/Elliott area has really bad damage, with several structures destroyed, and people trapped and critically injured.

 

[lake.effect]

Big rotation heading into Kennett, MO

 

[Kds86z]

Ryan Hall's stream reports the Grenada/Elliott area has really bad damage, with several structures destroyed, and people trapped and critically injured.

oh thanks. I turned that off for the evening

 

[Brice W]

View attachment 35948
Don’t like the looks of this.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Zabwxaj]

Grenada storm cycled and looks primed to drop another large tornado imminently.

 

[atrainguy]

 

[Kds86z]