Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Blountwolf]

Based on the HRRR, I'd put a watch in AR and NW MS for later this evening.

 

[cincywx]

Looks like a few of those high plains supercells did last season

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

Big time CC drop here, starting to look really mean. Definite significant tornado on the ground, this cell is also barely in 50’s dew points. Going to be a long night.

 

[Maxis_s]

Definitely a significant tornado ongoing, I'd issue a PDS warning if I were the NWS. Surprised we don't have a proper look at it.

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Based on the HRRR, I'd put a watch in AR and NW MS for later this evening.
View attachment 35650

Speak of the devil, there's the MCD for a watch in that area

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 175

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[Chris3024]

cell north of Ozark, AR trying to take off

 

[SmokeEater]

Definitely a significant tornado ongoing, I'd issue a PDS warning if I were the NWS. Surprised we don't have a proper look at it.

Not a single report on it yet, WFO Springfield saying rotation and debris very consistent.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

CC is getting larger.

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

Would also like to point out the HRRR continues to consistently show less and less morning convection across the warm sector tomorrow. Not a good trend.

 

[MMWX]

Intense CC drop.

 

[SmokeEater]

Multiple 911 calls confirming the tornado.

 

[TH2002]

Unfortunately, it's most definitely hitting structures. Very pronounced CC drop.

 

[GA Stormchaser]

Is there a non-pay weather radar site that has the option to show if storms have rotation?

Best FREE radar site (plus more) is web.weatherwise.app (Desktop and mobile apps).

 

[ColdFront]

Those storms south of the current warning need watched too. Entering a very favorable environment

 

[Maxis_s]

Couplet is weakening. Inflow is still incredibly powerful so I expect this cell to cycle.

 

[Evan]

Storm south of Sparta, MO is also getting organized very quickly. Won't be shocked to see it go TOR quite soon.

 

[Tennie]

The fact that there are several cells training near Springfield, MO, has me concerned for the potential for that area to experience flooding.

 

[Richardjacks]

Would also like to point out the HRRR continues to consistently show less and less morning convection across the warm sector tomorrow. Not a good trend.
View attachment 35654

Yes I am thinking there won't be much at least in alabama...warm sector may be pristine

 

[SilentShadow87]

and here. we. go.

that thing is simply stunning in radar presentation.

View attachment 35645

If I wanted to show someone who was totally new to severe weather watching what a hook echo looks like, I'd probably show them these pictures. That's just classic.