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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

JayF said:
I am about to start my Midterm that has to be completed today. Anyone want to get the HRRR helicity data and reflectivity for Central Illinois for tonight's round of storms.
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I hope you do well on your midterm, and stay safe during the upcoming storms!
 
Tennie said:
I hope you do well on your midterm, and stay safe during the upcoming storms!
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That is where most of my family is located. I am going to be watching these storms like I was living there.
 
akt1985 said:
I sure hope the long track, strong/violent tornadoes avoid the Huntsville metro area. So many more homes and businesses have been built in outlying areas of Madison and Limestone County since 2011. Many homes were put up so quickly their construction quality is questionable.
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I saw a house here where they forgot nuts for the frame to slab anchor bolts...luckily caught before drywall went up, but it makes me wonder how many got overlooked given how quickly they have been building around here. The good news is a lot of garage in-ground storm shelters and reinforced master closets have been going in during new construction.
 
Brice W said:
4/7/2006. I don’t see a chance but there’s a decent chance for a 45%
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Here is the April 7th, 2006 Tornado outlook, I definitely haven't seen this in a while.

Screenshot 2025-03-14 3.39.56 PM.png
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
Yeah that crossed through my head when I saw it as well. I still think it's enough spacing though imo
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Yeah it still looks discrete enough for a solid outbreak. A bit of a pet peeve of mine is those Twitter weenies who treat every high risk like it needs to be a super outbreak. There were people calling 3/31/23 a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency, which I'm sure was a real comfort to the people who lost loved ones.
 
I'm not sure y'all are understand how bad tommrow afternoon could be. We have a highly favorable tornadic enviroment, with atleast 5+ tornadic storms it looks like going at one time based off the HRRR. Tommrow we very well could have a hard time tracking them all because there's so many producing tornadoes. I highly suspect a 45% tornado risk will come for the border of Alabama and Mississippi.
 
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