Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Brice W]

Know a lot focus on Saturday. Should be , but SPC just got more
Bullish day 3 especially for Tennessee Friday night moderate looks like
Coming Friday threat

If they were to issue the MDT would it be more likely to come D2 or probably a last minute D1?

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

I really hope that the threats hit different places and don't mow over the same. Don't need the infrastructural challenges.

This was definitely an issue on 4/27/11 with the overnight/early morning round knocking out a lot of cell towers and power lines in W AL before the main event started.

(Not that I am saying this setup/outcome is similar to 4/27/11!)

 

[jiharris0220]

I will say it was a bit jarring to hear Trey’s live reaction to a sounding from Saturday. Not to mention when he saw the LLLRs. He’s pretty conservative and doesn’t hype stuff up.

I don’t really watch weather update videos, since I know enough about meteorology to be confident in what could happen.

But yea, there’s definitely a different vibe regarding the Mets to this event.

Honestly I haven’t seen wording like this since march 31/april 1 2023.

 

[Clancy]

No not really. This brings up a good point though that needs to be said. Severe storms can and do happen outside of the highest risk zone.

Newnan EF-4 is a good example.

 

[OhOkayThen]

SPC using "strong tornado" wording for Friday night now. I think they are scared there may be more supercells than previously thought.

 

[cg9450]

Newnan EF-4 is a good example.

Cookeville EF-4, also.

 

[The Nino]

If you were a sporting event promoter and was having a sold out event at your 5000 seat arena Saturday evening in the bullseye zone, what would you do?

cancel

 

[MMWX]

If you were a sporting event promoter and was having a sold out event at your 5000 seat arena Saturday evening in the bullseye zone, what would you do?

Move it up to Friday.

 

[joshoctober16]

Adding two more tiers was undoubtedly a good thing.

Wish they chose less confusing names or dropped the names altogether and just did levels 1-5.

I've wasted hours of my life explaining how moderate is worse than enhanced.

semi off topic but it seems like the future SCP outlook will be more like this.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

18z NAM is rolling out now.

 

[Aaron Rider]

Are there really people who don't know where their "safe place" is for a storm? I can envision a "family meeting" on the night before storms where the dad has a white board out and a pointer with a diagram of the house and the kids are all listening to him while holding a stuffed animal.

Last year I called a buddy in Michigan to warn him a possibly substantial tornado was in the area. He said he and his friends were in a garage drinking beer and casually watching the storms. Does that answer your question

 

[MMWX]

Last year I called a buddy in Michigan to warn him a possibly substantial tornado was in the area. He said he and his friends were in a garage drinking beer and casually watching the storms. Does that answer your question

At least they are watching and aware. They're doing better than most.

 

[KevinH]

12z GFS is a touch more progressive, bringing all of AL under the highest EHI values and including parts of the Georgia as well.
Most models have been keeping GA out of the main risk area, but CSU's machine learning model kept the them in the threat zone.

Just wanted to point out that SPC moved the ENH area further west into GA recently. Do not be surprised if this happens again between now and Saturday.

 

[MMWX]

Spann's afternoon briefing:

 

[KevinH]

I really don't know how much room Saturday even has to uptrend at this point, especially with HRRR and other models still out of range.

Don’t jinx or challenge it.. Dixie can hear you lol

 

[brianc33710]

Isn't the SEC Basketball Tournament is going on in EDIT Nashville this weekend?

 

[MMWX]

Isn't the SEC Basketball Tournament is going on in Birmingham this weekend?

Nashville, but yes.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Isn't the SEC Basketball Tournament is going on in Birmingham this weekend?

Nashville

 

[cg9450]

Isn't the SEC Basketball Tournament is going on in Birmingham this weekend?

I think it's the gulf south regional you're thinking of

 

[KevinH]

Speaking of the setup, this from Alan Gerard.
View attachment 35167

I have never seen this either. What ramifications are there if THIS verifies??