In fact you can see it on visible satellite best. Stuff sitting in E TX and W OK will probably be developing over the next several hours.
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Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Tempestas Tonitrua
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You’re right. They’re some of the the best in the world for a reason - guess I just got a little too into “radar watching”
Radar-watching is also really good at making time seem to pass quickly even though it's actually going by pretty slowly. Have done that many times myself.
wx_guy
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The 01z mesoanalysis has a large area that actually surpasses the scale for the Violent Tornado Parameter...it looks like 20 is the highest it goes. According to the paper that created the VTP, the 90th percentile in their sampling was 10.1 for confirmed violent tornadoes. So having a large part of central OK being maxed out (somewhere) above 20 is just astounding and mind-boggling.
The big question is what will take advantage of this....
The big question is what will take advantage of this....
jiharris0220
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We’re in the age of rapid scan satellites so every single second seems like an eternity.
Back in the day were satellite updates were hourly we could afford a lot more patience, lol.
Back in the day were satellite updates were hourly we could afford a lot more patience, lol.
Tempestas Tonitrua
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That and I also stopped looking at the models after the event started. Got way too into now cast mode and neglected any future convection
jiharris0220
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Don’t exactly know why the current segment of storms are doing hell all, but thank goodness so.
Although I’m getting worried about the second round as the moment they form the environment will be more than primed, and this is the segment that’s headed into the OK city metro.
Although I’m getting worried about the second round as the moment they form the environment will be more than primed, and this is the segment that’s headed into the OK city metro.
SmokeEater
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From OUN: Timing Update: Current line of storms continues to progress eastward through area 1. Anticipate this line to stay mainly north of I-40. That being said, we're seeing indications that a second line may develop late tonight around the I-44 corridor, affecting central and possibly southern Oklahoma. We're also watching some attempts at convection along the dryline in southwest Oklahoma, but chances of that amounting to anything appear low at this time.
I certainly hope it stays quiet, but I'm definitely not trusting it to.
tornado examiner
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Something’s wrong…
KevinH
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Why do you say that?
SD/MN going nuts right now.
Can always count on cold core shenanigans.
SilentShadow87
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tornado examiner
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Oh it’s just the whole typical…everything goes horribly crazy when we all begin to let out a sigh of relief…
jiharris0220
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Yeah, that area is barely in the MRGL risk area with a less than 2% tornado risk!
Muwx
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More Mets starting to throw in the towel. I don’t think it’s a reach to say this is failing to live up to the hype.
Ol' reliable!