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Svr Wx threat April 1-April 2 2024

NorthBamaWX said:
can anyone tell me if you can see SHEAR on GRLEVEL3??
Click to expand...

Not necessarily (unless you count the Mesocyclone/Tornado Dection Algorithms, but those simply generate logos over suspect areas). However, GRLevel2 does have something similar: NROT (Normalized Rotation, which adjusts for distance from the radar).
 
Cells NW of Montgomery, AL are hooking and developing rotation.
1712101475714.png
 
From the latest mesoanalysis, here's the conditional probability of EF2+ tornadoes (the probability assumes an extant supercell already):

1712101792363.png

For what it's worth, these numbers are generally higher than the threat further north. So yeah, I'm really focusing on it. I really think this is where the action may be. EDIT: There's plenty of action occurring further north - not trying to diminish that. Just looking at the best setup and all.
 
Three little spinny-doodles now. Probably won't drop anything (hopefully), but a testament to the conditions in place over AL, which will only become more favorable as the evening progresses.
1712101938778.png
 
Gnarly couplet and widening TDS on that Ohio storm.
1712102064426.png
 
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