wolfywise
Member
40kts of pure streamwise shear in the first .5km is absolutely ridiculous.
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Severe Weather Threat - January 8th-9th, 2024
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe weather
40kts of pure streamwise shear in the first .5km is absolutely ridiculous.
warneagle
Member
if you said "draw me a high-shear low-CAPE outbreak" idk if I would've drawn something that good
LOL at the HRW FV3.
Doing it's usual as supercell printer
Doing it's usual as supercell printer
For once, it may not be all that far off.
Imagine if those supercells actually jogged behind the warm front and stayed surface based. Oof. Hopefully the next runs on the HRRR don't trend like the supercell printer
That's all for me tonight lol, I expect a moderate in the morning. Id be shocked if it wasn't. Look forward to seeing the 06z runs in the morn.
KevinH
Member
Good hell SMH
warneagle
Member
I could understand them waiting til 13z to see some obs on the temps/dews before pulling the trigger on an upgrade
Yep. That would be the most logical thing to do unless something substantial happens during the early morning hours that warrants it earlier.
KevinH
Member
Pass the caffeine...
KevinH
Member
How far north do y’all think the warm front (and tornado threat) will go?
TornadoFan
Member
NorthGaWeather
Member
I would probably expand the MRGL, SLGT, and ENH a row or two of counties to the north and east in Alabama. I don’t think the significant wind/tornado threat will extend much farther north than that, as it currently stands.
I would expect a MDT at some point tomorrow, and wouldn’t be shocked to see a MDT for wind or a MDT for tornadoes (mainly QLCS) verify. This has the potential to be a significant wind event, regardless of the tornado threat. While I agree with MOB about strong tornado potential with QLCS tornadoes, the greater potential is with embedded supercells or lone supercells over the GOM that move ashore. The synoptic environment is foreboding alone. I caution against CAM hugging, but they also show an acute scenario playing out.
TornadoFan
Member
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #238
Watch southeast Texas tomorrow afternoon as we could get a tornado with daylight in that area.
akt1985
Member
City of Houston urging fans to stay aware of coming severe weather risk ahead of Monday night’s National Championship Game.
City of Houston asks fans to be prepared for severe weather ahead of CFP national championship game
Houston emergency management officials are prepared to keep fans safe during the tailgate outside of NRG Stadium.
www.khou.com