November 19-21st severe threat

[KevinH]

Watching this closely as it crosses into MS with its wanna be hook echo

 

[KevinH]

There MIGHT be an unwarned tornado going on near Leesville, LA, right now...

Video of said storm:

https://x.com/braydensiau/status/1726719897785487708?s=46&t=NBCFVgjjJLxach1Cmkmpsw

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Vicksburg MS cell needs to be watched. Shear is about to start cranking. And it's already got pretty good broad rotation.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hrrr shows that same vicksburg cell really cranking here in the next few hours with a pretty strong updraft swath, let's see what it does.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Looks like potentially a tornado down near Jena LA.

*Maybe faulty cc drop not sure. Tight rotation though

 

[KevinH]

Looks like potentially a tornado down near Jena LA

Warned…

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hrrr highlights these two storms to take off.

I'm really worried about the northern one. It's got a monster of a mesocyclone. Watch out anybody near vicksburg

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Tornado warned as I posted. Here it comes. Yikes.

 

[Tennie]

The cell near Vicksburg looks like it's trying to form a bow echo.

 

[Tanner]

Not seeing this event performing to any expectation at this time

 

[Tennie]

Not seeing this event performing to any expectation at this time

For now, at the least. The rule of thumb is to basically let the atmosphere cook. Let's see what happens over the next few hours...(knock on wood!)

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Not seeing this event performing to any expectation at this time

Definitely, that's a good thing though. Still isn't over but keeping at most a enchanched was a good idea by spc.

 

[Tanner]

Definitely, that's a good thing though. Still isn't over but keeping at most a enchanched was a good idea by spc.

I mean, is anyone really surprised? This feels like deja vu. The ratio of Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency-verify feels so imbalanced it’s not believable. Again, it’s not over, so I’m moving forward.

 

[JPWX]

BTI on storm NE of Vicksburg.

 

[KevinH]

I mean, is anyone really surprised? This feels like deja vu. The ratio of Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency-verify feels so imbalanced it’s not believable. Again, it’s not over, so I’m moving forward.

BYE!!!

Lol

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I mean, is anyone really surprised? This feels like deja vu. The ratio of Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency-verify feels so imbalanced it’s not believable. Again, it’s not over, so I’m moving forward.

Lol just goes to show how difficult forecasting is.

 

[Tanner]

Lol just goes to show how difficult forecasting is.

Exactly.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

BTI on storm NE of Vicksburg.

That storm is having a really hard time tightening up

 

[Tennie]

I'm not liking the look of the Alexandria cell. That one bears watching.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I'm not liking the look of the Alexandria cell. That one bears watching.

Jinx , just went warned lol