Severe Weather Threat - November 29th-30th, 2022

[CheeselandSkies]

Something potentially nasty knocking on the door of De Kalb/Scooba, MS.* Not warned yet.

*If its inflow doesn't get cut off by the one in Sumter, Co., AL.

 

[akt1985]

There are severe thunderstorm warnings well away from the main risk area in northern Kentucky. Very dynamic system.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Western I-20 cell hooking over Forest, MS. No warning on that (even severe t-storm), either.

 

[brianc33710]

I'm thinking that this convention will kill off anything before reaching Bham. But I'm trying to decide if I should put my birds in their travel cages before going to bed. I have another migraine.

9 pm Bham 63/61 1.25" rain since 7 & still raining hard, more of a flood thread now

 

[TornadoFan]

Strong couplet NW of McComb, MS.

 

[Clancy]

Cell behind Scooba storm now has SVR and has a couplet.

 

[Clancy]

Cell behind Scooba storm now has SVR and has a couplet.

 

[Clancy]

Just went TOR-warned.

 

[Clancy]

Lots of little cells starting to rotate, three in this particular view.

 

[Clancy]

New MD mentions a maximized zone for tornado risk in MS.

SUMMARY...Tornado risk appears likely to be maximized in a narrow
zone from southwestern to east-central Mississippi over the next
hour.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of generally small, but
rotating cells moving northeastward at around 35 kt, in a band
extending from roughly Lincoln County in southwestern Mississippi,
to Newton/Neshoba/Kemper Counties in east-central Mississippi.

While generally small in size, a few of these cells have shown
rather pronounced low-level rotation (rotational velocity around 40
kt). Given the favorable background environment, this appears
likely to be a favored zone for a stronger tornado over the next
hour or so.

 

[TornadoFan]

For such a small cell, that New Hebron storm is really wound up.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

992
WFUS54 KJAN 300341
TORJAN
MSC031-065-077-127-129-300445-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0105.221130T0341Z-221130T0445Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
941 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Simpson County in central Mississippi...
Southwestern Smith County in central Mississippi...
Lawrence County in south central Mississippi...
Northwestern Covington County in southeastern Mississippi...
Northwestern Jefferson Davis County in south central Mississippi...

* Until 1045 PM CST.

* At 941 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Monticello, or 16 miles east of Brookhaven, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Wanilla around 945 PM CST.
Oma around 950 PM CST.
Shivers around 1005 PM CST.
Clem around 1010 PM CST.
Magee and Sanatorium around 1025 PM CST.
Martinville around 1030 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include New
Hebron and Silver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3171 9024 3175 9012 3179 9011 3179 9013
3207 8970 3180 8954 3142 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 231DEG 38KT 3159 9016

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

AJ

This polygon actually contains two couplets from two separate supercells. Not confusing at all.

 

[TornadoFan]

And now a tornado warning for Greene and Hale Counties in Alabama.

 

[kcyalater]

showtime

 

[TornadoFan]

Confirmed tornado over Eutaw.

 

[TH2002]

Debris signature

 

[TornadoFan]

This has to be the quickest update to a tornado warning i've ever seen.

 

[buckeye05]

Yup TDS over Eutaw

 

[OHWX97]

The small town of Akron, AL is about to take a direct hit if it doesn't change course.

Edit: Looks like it’ll miss the town just to the north. Might be an issue for Moundville, however…

 

[buckeye05]

Those cells in southern MS seem like they’re on the brink of causing serious problems, but nothing has touched down yet. Something is keeping a lid on things to some of extent, at least for now.