Hurricane Sally

[TornadoFan]

Maximum sustained winds are now up to 90 MPH as of the latest NHC update.

 

[warneagle]

NHC has increased the forecast maximum intensity to 105 mph. If it keeps going the way it has the last couple of hours they might need to revise that upward...

 

[akt1985]

Winds up to 100 MPH now.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

With the slow forward speed and some models calling for this to stall out the major threat will definitely be rain and flooding.

 

[Kory]

Sally looks to be the first landfalling Alabama hurricane since Ivan in 2004.

 

[Kory]

Good news is, looks like SWerly shear has capped Sally and she’s already reached her peak. Will likely weaken until landfall.

 

[David in SW Blount]

I wonder how much rain we will really get north of Birmingham? Unless that rain shield expands a lot or Sally tracks more north, I'm struggling to see how we get much.

 

[Kory]

I wonder how much rain we will really get north of Birmingham? Unless that rain shield expands a lot or Sally tracks more north, I'm struggling to see how we get much.

Yeah rain totals along and north of 20/59 will need to be trimmed down significantly.

 

[StormStalker]

Here's a pretty good webcam from Gulf Shores

https://www.livebeaches.com/webcams/the-beach-club-resort-spa-live-cam/

 

[Jetstream]

This center of circulation has wobbled all day

 

[dwg12]

I'm starting to think Tuscaloosa won't see much rain at all. I was hoping for a couple of inches to wet things down a bit.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Strengthening before landfall.

 

[Evan]

Strengthening before landfall.

She's legit pushing for strong Cat 2 or low end Cat 3 status. Running out of superlatives for 2020. Similar to 2005. Except these storms strengthen from 72 hours out until after landfall

 

[Blountwolf]

Getting some light blues in there now...

 

[Evan]

Man. Radar and recon are showing a storm that is defying both conventional wisdom and most forecast models. Don't envy the NHC this year. They haven't had an easy season to say the least.

 

[Evan]

This is insane. Look at those velocity bins on KMOB and recon data. 90kts, if not 95kts, is easily supported. If anything, that is a conservative estimation of where Sally is headed in the next few hours absent dramatic weakening.

NHC is going to be gun shy to upgrade considering how Sally has acted previously, but I don't think this kind of intensification before landfall can be ignored.

 

[Blountwolf]

NHC- Cat 2

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I’m in it in Gulf Shores. This is insane!

 

[Copasetic]

Hi all. Long time no talk!

I live in Gulf Breeze, FL, as close as you can be in Navarre, FL and not be there.

It’s getting real outside and likely going to be a long night.

The zone I’m in is voluntary at CAT2 mandatory at CAT3.

Looks to be following the same path right now as Ivan, ironically 16 years to the date.

 

[Copasetic]

In a band right now, east of the eye, I don’t think I’ve ever quite heard a sound like this before.

Aside from the wind and rain, the Santa Rosa Sound and GOM sounds like heavy machinery running. Crazy!