Bama Ravens
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Another good example of the fact that a system in which the cold air has to chase down the precip rarely works out.
Meteorologists are going to get absolutely blasted for this.
Someone ia going to get dumped on with 3+ inches. Precip rapidly changing to all snow per KBMX NEXRAD.
Another good example of the fact that a system in which the cold air has to chase down the precip rarely works out.
If Meteorologists here in AL wanted to avoid criticism from the general public, they'd never forecast snow (especially this type of setup) unless there is a low in the Gulf. They'd be right 95%+ of the time, and if snowed, most people would be too happy to complain.
But, they can't do that because of the risk to public safety. I actually think Spann had gotten into the habit of doing that exact thing before Snowmageddon, and it burnt him badly when people ended up trapped at work, kids trapped at schools, etc.
Yeah. Cold air chasing moisture. Never works out to good ....This was an always changing forecast. There was always that concern if the cold air would catch up with the precipitation. Ensemble guidance on the globals showed both camps well of what could have happened, and the Canadian model has been wonderful this year with our snow forecast. Some should have given all that, and the short term model guidance more credit. There was definently potential for there to be a good snow, but there was just as much potential for a no show. The forecast to me was a very low confidence forecast, and thus why I never got excited about it. Cold chasing moisture has provided good snows in the past, but this was a very questionable one.
Just as I said all along. You can't tell me we're going to be sitting at 60 degrees and sunny and then somehow have 4 inches of snow on the ground less than 12 hours later.
I don't care what the models show, that just doesn't make sense.
Sorry, but JP Dice literally said on the air just now that ground temps were part of the reason we did not have accumulating snow here. Ground temps were just too warm for this.You're quite wrong, actually. That's not why we didn't receive accumulating snow. The line between not receiving any snow, or having appreciable accumulation had nothing to do with the high temperature from the day before. This event relied on precipitation bringing colder (below freezing) air aloft down to the surface. For that to occur, the sub-freezing air in the higher levels of the atmosphere had to crash in early enough that the precipitation could bring the cold air down before drying out or moving on, and the result would be accumulating snow.
I'm not trying to be a jerk, but you're making assumptions about why people didn't get snow, but those assumptions are badly flawed. Making those same mistakes assumptions in March of 93 would've been disastrous.
Surface temps from the day before are NOT why people didn't receive accumulating snow.
Sorry, but JP Dice literally said on the air just now that ground temps were part of the reason we did not have accumulating snow here. Ground temps were just too warm for this.
Just as I said all along. You can't tell me we're going to be sitting at 60 degrees and sunny and then somehow have 4 inches of snow on the ground less than 12 hours later.
I don't care what the models show, that just doesn't make sense.
Sorry, but JP Dice literally said on the air just now that ground temps were part of the reason we did not have accumulating snow here. Ground temps were just too warm for this.
I read on Facebook that is snowed heavily in Birmingham for two hours, but there was no accumulation. Is that true? Was there acutually a heavy snow for two hours?