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Is she doing another eyewall replacement cycleShe's having big troubles right now. Hurricane Hunters only finding winds to 140MPH and she's awfully close to making landfall.
Just saw where the 'new' forecast calls for landfall as a cat5 on CNN?? Is NHC going with the GFS?
She's chewed up that dry air pretty good now.Flight level winds of 170 @ 10k feet NW quadrant. 150-155 at the surface.
Looks like the shift continues west on some of the early 00z models. Will be a couple hours until the global models start coming in.
My gut says this thing just skirts the west coast of Florida and makes landfall somewhere around east of Apalachicola, perhaps due south of Tallahassee.
That would make the impacts in Alabama MUCH stronger. Higher winds and rain, especially if it makes the NW jog like on the current track.And does what? North or turn? I've been fretting this scenario.