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There is another area already in the Gulf that popped up this morning they are looking at.
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Yep, 96L looks very healthy in the Bahamas. Surface Obs indicate a broad LLC. SHIPs intensity gets this up to a category 1 before landfalling on the central Gulf Coast. Might seem bullish but the upper level conditions are really good ahead of this thing. I think we might have some surprises.Looking pretty active today too, including the organization of a potential depression off the east FL coast heading westward into the GOM.
Looks like we have a tropical depression or storm East of Florida.
Someone get the thread going.
Some models are indicating rapid intensification before landfall in LA/MS region.Although unlikely given it being elongated, I would at least have some worry about rapid intensification. We saw what happened with Laura in such a short amount of time and this system will be moving over the area of the Gulf that is even warmer than the area Laura moved over.
Looks like the NHC agrees with you.I’m definitely alerting my family in Louisiana to start prepping for a hurricane. Model trends as well as observational trends are showing a more southerly track meaning more time over water with a center relocation.
I think Teddy has about as close to zero of a chance of affecting the US as you can get. Now, the storm that might develop in the Western Gulf, that’s a different story.Although most models take Teddy out to sea, there are still a few that bring it to New England and the Canadian Maratimes.