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Archive Severe Potential 4/3-4/4

Looking at that large MDT driven by wind, you gotta wonder if we’re about to see another April 4-5, 2011.
 
Kory said:
Looking at that large MDT driven by wind, you gotta wonder if we’re about to see another April 4-5, 2011.
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That day had a perfect little Madison county sized bubble where no significant severe weather occurred yet everywhere around us got lambasted. I have an exam tomorrow so I wouldn't exactly complain if some wind gusts conveniently knocked out power to UAH until around 10 or so tomorrow morning.

110404_rpts.gif
 
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That's a pretty large moderate outlook, and given models underdoing of several important severe parameters I think it's a pretty good call. Looks like this April is shaping up to be more active than the previous few years.
 
Tornado watch is up for most of southern Indiana and southwestern Ohio along the warm front. 60/40.

Most of the recent model runs have shown decent sigtor values (>2) up there after about 20z, so even though it's not the main event, it bears watching.
 
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Screen Shot 2018-04-03 at 1.15.39 PM.png Severe storms firing just north of my location before the dryline even gets here. I'd watch out east of here folks.
 
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KoD said:
That's a pretty large moderate outlook, and given models underdoing of several important severe parameters I think it's a pretty good call. Looks like this April is shaping up to be more active than the previous few years.
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It's certainly getting interesting sooner than I'd anticipated given the pattern. I'll armchair chase while my apartment heater is going full blast. My side mirrors were iced over when I left work today.

Probs on that new watch for the western/southern portion of the risk area are impressive. Just shy of PDS territory.
 
Will be an interesting day. I had the choice to fly back from the west coast to Nashville either yesterday or today, and suffice to say yesterday was a much better plan in retrospect hah
 
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There has been a fair amount of sunshine up here in North AL. However, I'm noticing the dewpoint still around 58F in Huntsville.
 
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GymieRustle said:
Speaking of Huntsville, what is this system looking like over here? I have been out of pocket for this system.
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As an aside, an outdoor warning siren was just put in up on Keel. Depending on where you live up there will determine if you will hear it or not due to all the trees.
 
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HazardousWx said:
As an aside, an outdoor warning siren was just put in up on Keel. Depending on where you live up there will determine if you will hear it or not due to all the trees.
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yep saw that. I'm on the less populated side of the mountain so might not be able to hear it. No prob though, I don't rely on them anyways...I like to think I'm pretty weather aware ;)
 
I need to stress that potentially significant straight line winds in excess of 70mph are the main threat tonight. That will NOT trigger the sirens, but it can be just as damaging (sometimes even moreso) than a small tornado. There could even be some isolated gusts over 80mph. Relying on the sirens alone isn't a good idea in general, but a particularly bad idea tonight.
 
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