Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Chantal

[IdaliaHelene]

lmaooooooo the only thing chantal will mog is a dead goldfish off the carolinas

 

[IdaliaHelene]

@Atlantic @Kds86z @Lake Martin EF4 @Wazim Khan gtfih

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

I'm starting to think numerology like what @IdaliaHelene is using is actually pretty accurate for AHS forecasts lol

 

[IdaliaHelene]

I'm starting to think numerology like what @IdaliaHelene is using is actually pretty accurate for AHS forecasts lol

Thank you, it mogs right?
I blended numerology, Vedic astrology and the LRC for my forecasts

 

[Atlantic]

As I did for Hurricane Milton last year, here’s the next flight that is scheduled to depart right about now:

 

[IdaliaHelene]

uh who capitalized the title
it looked cool lowercase

 

[Atlantic]

uh who capitalized the title
it looked cool lowercase

That’s how it works here. I for one prefer capitalized.

 

[Atlantic]

AFXXX 0303A CYCLONE has finally taken off and it is on the way to Chantal.

 

[IdaliaHelene]

That’s how it works here. I for one prefer capitalized.

did I suffer from gen z brainrot

 

[IdaliaHelene]

AFXXX 0303A CYCLONE has finally taken off and it is on the way to Chantal.

now watch her blow up to 60mph
maybe even 70mph

 

[Atlantic]

now watch her blow up to 60mph
maybe even 70mph

I doubt it unless it unexpectedly stalls.

The center is in the circle I drew. I don’t think near-hurricane force TCs have an exposed circulation center.

 

[Atlantic]

This is nearly spot on!

What Chantal looks like now:


What HWRF wants Chantal to look like by 06Z tomorrow (which it already looks like now):

 

[Atlantic]

This is nearly spot on!

What Chantal looks like now:
View attachment 44870

What HWRF wants Chantal to look like by 06Z tomorrow (which it already looks like now):
View attachment 44871

What is this?! WHAT IS THIS?!

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[Atlantic]

Current Recon is finding winds between 40 kts and 60 kts.

I’m split on this. I feel like the NHC could be conservative and up the intensity to 45 kts, but maybe they could also upgrade it to 50 kts.

Currently I would say the intensity is between 45-50 kts for sure.

 

[Atlantic]

Current Recon is finding winds between 40 kts and 60 kts.

I’m split on this. I feel like the NHC could be conservative and up the intensity to 45 kts, but maybe they could also upgrade it to 50 kts.
View attachment 44873
Currently I would say the intensity is between 45-50 kts for sure.

The pressure hadn’t changed much so far as recon placed a 1005 mb center marker down:

 

[Atlantic]

Here is the Vortex Data Message from the current recon mission;

 

[Atlantic]

000
WTNT23 KNHC 060247
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032025
0300 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 78.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 78.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 78.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.6N 79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.8N 79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 36.0N 78.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 78.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE​

 

[IdaliaHelene]

What is this?! WHAT IS THIS?!
View attachment 44872

Chantal from the slums of moggistan maybe (wouldn't happen)

 

[IdaliaHelene]

Here is the Vortex Data Message from the current recon mission;
View attachment 44875

Chantal clacking her nails that she mogged barry stanton