Severe Weather Threat June 6-12

[Kds86z]

 

[buckeye05]

I’ve been getting back into storm chasing lately for the first time in a while, and today was really thrilling! No tornadoes but lots of rotating wall clouds, crazy outflow, and incredible storm structure. I also ran into EF Scale boogeyman Tim Marshall today near Limon, CO and we chatted a bit, which was kind of surreal lol.

Anyway will post pics of my recent chases soon.

 

[VultureDirge89]

I'm definitely keeping a very close eye on tomorrow through to Thursday. Today seems like it was an overperformer so if that's a sign of things to come then the next three days could end up being very busy. Then again, knowing this year's track record this will probably end up being the most active day of the week lol.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE TRAILING
FRONT FROM THE LOWER MO AND MID MS VALLEYS SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
OZARKS INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE MID-LEVEL
SYSTEM SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TRACKED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES AND SWATHS OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS.

 

[akt1985]

Might have to extend the title to include the 12th as the SPC has an area outlined for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Friday.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Tennie]

For what it's worth, the SPC has 10% CIG1 tornado risks for both today and tomorrow.

Day 1:


Day 2:


At this point, I personally wouldn't be surprised to see a similar tornado risk be issued for Thursday once that comes into range.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Going to be an active next three nights for the Midwest! Astorp has trended up with a 10% hatched each day, and StormNet is showing an over 60% chance of Tors around the Chicago metro on Thursday. We'll see what happens!

 

[Kds86z]

FROM NORTH DAKOTA/NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA, ANOTHER SUPERCELL/TORNADO-FAVORABLE ZONE COULD
MATERIALIZE BY EVENING FARTHER SOUTHEAST FROM SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA/SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA.
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER AND STORM
COVERAGE/CERTAINTY WILL LIKELY BE LESSER ACROSS THIS REGION.
HOWEVER, A RATHER FAVORABLE AND POTENTIALLY VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT
WILL EXIST AS A SECONDARY LOW-LEVEL JET BRANCH INCREASES AND
INTERFACES WITH AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONTAL ZONE THIS EVENING, WITH
INITIAL INTENSE SUPERCELLS PLAUSIBLE IF/WHERE STORMS DEVELOP.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

From the weekend:

 

[atrainguy]

Got three ongoing tornado warnings now in MI, with the original storm, a warning near Saginaw, and Flint warned.

EDIT: My bad, looks like the Chesaning and Saginaw ones just expired, but Flint is still ongoing.

 

[Kds86z]