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Severe WX May 17-25 2019 - Plains Severe Event (51 Viewers)


warneagle

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Silver Spring, MD
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12z GFS held serve. Monday (5/20) and Wednesday (5/22) look downright violent. Yikes. Thursday (5/23) and Sunday (5/26) bear watching too. Still long range for now at least I guess.
 
Last edited:

Equus

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Messages
859
Location
Saragossa, AL
A week from today looks horrifying for classic tornado alley. Could potentially be an historic outbreak sequence IF things don't trend downwards (as they tend to) and extreme parameters produce all the high-ceiling results they're capable of. Always a monkey wrench to throw in the mix somewhere
 

kivey2969

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18
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US
Could these systems potentially affect the mid or deep south? If so, what areas? I know a lot could change. Just curious.
 

warneagle

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Silver Spring, MD
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Severe probs on the entire day 4-8 outlook (and there will probably be some for the next few days after that too).
 

warneagle

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Silver Spring, MD
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It could very well go all the way through next weekend. If it verifies this is gonna be a May 2003/May 2004 type of sequence (various dates from those months have been popping up as analogs).
 
Messages
329
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jackson tennessee
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It could very well go all the way through next weekend. If it verifies this is gonna be a May 2003/May 2004 type of sequence (various dates from those months have been popping up as analogs).
It could very well go all the way through next weekend. If it verifies this is gonna be a May 2003/May 2004 type of sequence (various dates from those months have been popping up as analogs).
Could these systems potentially affect the mid or deep south? If so, what areas? I know a lot could change. Just curious.
May 4th 2003 we got hit good with a ef4 12 fatalities here... it was a crazy 2 solid weeks of severe wx
 

JayF

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Hartselle, al
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Next week: The Extended Range Tornado Forecast, a product from Northern Illinois University, shows that areas in RED will see a more active tornado risk compared to normal for next week. Not all areas in red will see a tornado, but that the conditions projected to be in place will lead to higher confidence of severe weather. Stay tuned. Next week looks active.

https://www.facebook.com/NorthCentralStormChasers/


60204289_2098034310497183_6540287150791852032_o.png
 

Argus

Member
Messages
96
Location
Athens, Georgia
It could very well go all the way through next weekend. If it verifies this is gonna be a May 2003/May 2004 type of sequence (various dates from those months have been popping up as analogs).
May 2003 affected multiple states on different days. It affected Georgia one day and Alabama the next.
 

warneagle

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Silver Spring, MD
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May 2003 affected multiple states on different days. It affected Georgia one day and Alabama the next.
The highest end threat is in the southern and central plains right now but it’s definitely possible that the mid-Mississippi valley and Hoosier Alley could be involved too
 

TornadoFan

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Messages
261
Location
Colorado
From the latest Day 2 update:

Potential exists for a significant severe event across a portion of
NE, and a moderate risk will be considered in day 1 updates.
 

warneagle

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1,174
Location
Silver Spring, MD
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SKYWARN® Volunteer
Yeah I could see something getting going near the surface low and along the warm front up there. I’ve seen a few people indicate on twitter that that northern zone would be their preferred chasing target.
 

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