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Severe Weather 2023

JPWX

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So far as of May 23rd per SPC, there's been 160 preliminary tornadoes in the month of May. The only other May that comes closest to this is May 1994 which had 161. 1994 was an El Nino year and featured a relatively benign hurricane season. However, 1994 didn't feature the first category 5 super typhoon until August. The most noteworthy Atlantic storm that season was Gordon.
 
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So far as of May 23rd per SPC, there's been 160 preliminary tornadoes in the month of May. The only other May that comes closest to this is May 1994 which had 161. 1994 was an El Nino year and featured a relatively benign hurricane season. However, 1994 didn't feature the first category 5 super typhoon until August. The most noteworthy Atlantic storm that season was Gordon.

Yeah, no question it has been slow. At least with the repeated rounds of activity over this past week (although I wouldn't call it an "insane setup" as *ahem* a certain chaser did on social media) in the High Plains, there's something for the chasers out there to do. Sure glad I scored on 3/31, but gradually getting madder at myself for busting on 4/4 if I'd known it would be my last good opportunity for another two months at minimum. Really don't expect the season to be over at that point especially this far north.

Regarding the Atlantic hurricane season, a lot of interest to see how the rare El Nino vs. +AMO setup will play out.
 

atrainguy

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Looks like Wyoming has been busy today with lots of tornado warnings through the afternoon and several observed tornadoes. There's still an ongoing warning there, as well as another in SE Colorado. Also, some pics of a scenic tornado that was part of the action today.













We still have a 5% tornado risk in E NM/TX Panhandle, so we'll see if that verifies. High Plains have been doing pretty decent these past few days, despite how quiet it got for awhile there.
 

Tanner

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So far as of May 23rd per SPC, there's been 160 preliminary tornadoes in the month of May. The only other May that comes closest to this is May 1994 which had 161. 1994 was an El Nino year and featured a relatively benign hurricane season. However, 1994 didn't feature the first category 5 super typhoon until August. The most noteworthy Atlantic storm that season was Gordon.

Is anyone really surprised that May has been as quiet as it has been? April, was the complete opposite and the shock for how quiet is was. It’s so strange to see these hyperactive early season patterns turn to below average severe activity in time for peak season. As a weather enthusiast and chaser, I’m confused and slightly put on edge. As a civilian, I’m counting my blessings.


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Tanner

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Is anyone really surprised that May has been as quiet as it has been? April, was the complete opposite and the shock for how quiet is was. It’s so strange to see these hyperactive early season patterns turn to below average severe activity in time for peak season. As a weather enthusiast and chaser, I’m confused and slightly put on edge. As a civilian, I’m counting my blessings.


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To further elaborate on the May hypothesis. We have only had one May in the last 40+ years to have no EF3+ rated tornadoes, direct you to 2021. On top of this, no risks above Enhanced. Very odd seeing this in comparison to previous years or stretches of average-above average Mays.


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JPWX

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To further elaborate on the May hypothesis. We have only had one May in the last 40+ years to have no EF3+ rated tornadoes, direct you to 2021. On top of this, no risks above Enhanced. Very odd seeing this in comparison to previous years or stretches of average-above average Mays.


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You have just given me a splendid idea. Got some research work to do first.
 

JPWX

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Here it is. May Tornado Totals 1950 thru current including what phase of ENSO we were in those years. One thing I noticed was how the 2010 thru 19 years saw a slight drop off in total tornadoes compared to 2000 through 2009. Thanks to @Tanner for giving me this idea and perking my interest. At some point, when I have more time, I'll do this for each month.
 

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Tanner

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Here it is. May Tornado Totals 1950 thru current including what phase of ENSO we were in those years. One thing I noticed was how the 2010 thru 19 years saw a slight drop off in total tornadoes compared to 2000 through 2009. Thanks to @Tanner for giving me this idea and perking my interest. At some point, when I have more time, I'll do this for each month.

Incredible. Thank you so much!


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