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Severe Weather Threat May 16-18, 2026
- Thread starter Brice W
- Start date
KakashiHatake2000
Member
I’m guessing you mean no supercells according to that model
Beachwalker
Member
Where are we at today so far? Couple of EF0s? Not enough shear to move them off the boundry?
Muwx
Member
Lot of issues today but this board gets all bent out of shape if you start talking about them before the event has been wrapped up for 3 days
CheeselandSkies
Member
I'd wager a bit more than that based off some of the photos and radar images I've seen. Nothing exceptional, though and nor was I expecting that given the way the setup evolved over the last few days.
Too much cold front, LLJ doesn't increase until after discrete mode is largely over, jet streak gives a glancing blow to the warm sector instead of punching right into it. All recurring issues with setups this year. You can call it 2018ing but in my memory that year didn't even have near this many setups in the first place.
Beachwalker
Member
Timmer had fun driving around shooting potatoes into them today. Screaming, gagging, laughing.
US_Highway15
Member
Yeah this is the wildest March - May in terms of setups I've seen in a minute (the results don't show it though imo which is okay). Not to mention, talk about a crazy first test for the new CIG system.
I should mention by the way, I don't have an issue with it as much as I did in the beginning, especially since they've definitely lowered down their 2% CIG1 usage.
Muwx
Member
is the SPC trolling us with this Oklahoma tornado watch?
Grand Poo Bah
Member
It's crazy it's the same staff at the SPC this year as last year because it does not feel like the same office at all. They just issued a tornado watch for the Des Moines area even though the storms already passed.
WaryWarren
Member
There's a lot of chatter on Chaser twitter that people are sick of the crowds and thinking of a new hobby/profession. 
Schoeppeya
Member
I hit that point 15 years ago I cant imagine what its like out there now.There's a lot of chatter on Chaser twitter that people are sick of the crowds and thinking of a new hobby/profession.
DanLarsen34
Member
I regret skipping the gym this afternoon to track this event. I thought a storm or two would do something notable today, but nope. This is easily the most frustrating severe weather season I’ve tracked since 2017-18. Might be the SPC’s worst year as well since those two years where we had multiple high risk busts.
Same. Local chases only if I know the caravan is going to be far away from me.
Jacob Aden
Member
We’ve achieved peak chaser crashoutThere's a lot of chatter on Chaser twitter that people are sick of the crowds and thinking of a new hobby/profession.
DanLarsen34
Member
I
Basically, I think we are assured that a disaster is going to going to happen. It’s only a matter of when.
I think that might be necessary at this point. The convergence when we inevitably get an event with fast-moving, violent tornadoes (talking like May 10, 2010 speeds), is going to result in multiple fatalities. As we saw with El Reno 2013, deviant tornadoes could do it as well, especially with so many amateurs. Car accidents that result in serious injuries or fatalities probably happen before that as well.There's a lot of chatter on Chaser twitter that people are sick of the crowds and thinking of a new hobby/profession.
Basically, I think we are assured that a disaster is going to going to happen. It’s only a matter of when.
CannedHeat
Member
I'm sure its frustrating, but I dont believe that for a second. Especially from the guys who do it for a living. Sounds more like forecast frustration than anything.There's a lot of chatter on Chaser twitter that people are sick of the crowds and thinking of a new hobby/profession.
KakashiHatake2000
Member
You hago as well tennie