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Severe weather threat 4/23/26 (Central/Southern Plains)

Well, we now have the first official application of the revised EF scale...

"Bodily removal of substrate from ground from Gray Sky imagery. Entire tree displaced at least 40 ft. Estimated DBH 16-18 in." - new EF4 DI NE of Grayridge

This is UB DOD7 for tree damage on the revised scale, which is probably why the DI doesn't have a windspeed yet.
I believe this would be one of, if not the first official usages of root balling to help justify an EF4 rating?
 
This thread from yesterday onwards:
house.gif
 
This thread from yesterday onwards:
house.gif
I’d love to know the source of this gif lol.

On the subject, Yep. It’s the same people every time too. That’s really the issue. They don’t take any kind of feedback, even if it was polite or constructive. Then when called out, they lash out and resort to gaslighting the thread. Second day in a row of this.
 
I’m constantly checking for any survey updates for Enid. There may not be any more updates tonight but we got a few today regardless. Hope we get the final results within a week. The anticipation is building.
I feel so sorry for you right now lol

I don't know how you went from being confidently wrong and ridiculed all the time, to now being the one guy trying to restore a sense of normalcy to a thread that's gone off the rails...

Times do change lmao
 
Laugh all you want but it is obvious a lot of these wind engineers are incahoots with insurance companies.
You are a conspiracy theorist. It doesn’t matter if your house is destroyed by an ef3 or an ef5, it’s still destroyed and is a payout nonetheless. It’s considered an act of god and thus is a payout. You need to chill out.
Unrelated: tornado examiner had one of the biggest comebacks in talk weather history.
 
I feel so sorry for you right now lol

I don't know how you went from being confidently wrong and ridiculed all the time, to now being the one guy trying to restore a sense of normalcy to a thread that's gone off the rails...

Times do change lmao
(How the turns have tabled once again Xd.) happens to all of us.

Yeah but no seriously can the rest of y’all at least try to make this thread pleasant again? it’s really not that hard.
We’re close to a major survey update and this whole thread is uglier than sewer water.
 
Attempting to steer this gasoline fueled dumpster fire back on track....

I fully believe that @tornado examiner is correct here in the fact that we are very close to a major survey update. What the final windspeed will be is anyone's guess but IMO it will likely be a high end EF-4. 190-200 if I had to guess.

However, they could get it up to 201 if they go all in on 701 Ridgeway Drive and the RV (I severely doubt 170 will be the final rating for that home. That home was pretty above standard due to having up-to-code anchor bolts and cut/straight nail construction combined according to @Central Ohio Wx )
 
(How the turns have tabled once again Xd.) happens to all of us.

Yeah but no seriously can the rest of y’all at least try to make this thread pleasant again? it’s really not that hard.
We’re close to a major survey update and this whole thread is uglier than sewer water.
Minor correction, but it's actually "the tables have turned"... ;)

Sewer water is a good start to describe what's happened here, but I would have been more descriptive myself. Too bad I don't want to push this thread even deeper into the biggest pile of hazardous waste at CWM Emelle.

Anyhow, as others have already said, I see an upgrade to EF5 as very unlikely. Statistically, is there a non-zero chance that will happen? Sure, I guess. Are the surveyors, much, much more likely to go with a windspeed in the 190-195MPH range? Almost certainly.
 
Minor correction, but it's actually "the tables have turned"... ;)

Sewer water is a good start to describe what's happened here, but I would have been more descriptive myself. Too bad I don't want to push this thread even deeper into the biggest pile of hazardous waste at CWM Emelle.

Anyhow, as others have already said, I see an upgrade to EF5 as very unlikely. Statistically, is there a non-zero chance that will happen? Sure, I guess. Are the surveyors, much, much more likely to go with a windspeed in the 190-195MPH range? Almost certainly.
Reversing that phrase gives it a funnier emphasis, Xd.
 
Anyhow, as others have already said, I see an upgrade to EF5 as very unlikely. Statistically, is there a non-zero chance that will happen? Sure, I guess. Are the surveyors, much, much more likely to go with a windspeed in the 190-195MPH range? Almost certainly.
I’m going full on prediction mode here - realistically they do likely upgrade it to 190 MPH. But, with the context of Enderlin’s shocking upgrade, I do think there is a chance that they go EF5, I’m going to be ballsy and say they do just upgrade it to 200+. Their tone is giving me “we will find a reason to do so” vibes. It may take a second, but it could definitely happen. NWS Grand Forks set a precedent of one-off, uniquely violent tornadoes with extreme contextual evidence warranting an EF5 rating. NWS Norman seems like a WFO that isn’t going to cut corners, either.
 
I’m going full on prediction mode here - realistically they do likely upgrade it to 190 MPH. But, with the context of Enderlin’s shocking upgrade, I do think there is a chance that they go EF5, I’m going to be ballsy and say they do just upgrade it to 200+. Their tone is giving me “we will find a reason to do so” vibes. It may take a second, but it could definitely happen. NWS Grand Forks set a precedent of one-off, uniquely violent tornadoes with extreme contextual evidence warranting an EF5 rating. NWS Norman seems like a WFO that isn’t going to cut corners, either.
That’s a gutsy prediction. I really do think Enid reached EF5 intensity, but I just don’t know how they would justify such an upgrade, and I especially don’t know how they will get the ok from higher-ups within the NWS (which is gonna be the biggest hurdle to clear in my opinion). The Enderlin upgrade involved all kinds of red tape and bureaucracy, and only got the thumbs up thanks to undeniable physics-based calculations. So calling Enderlin a “context based” upgrade isn’t accurate in my opinion; I would call it a “calculation based” upgrade. I’d definitely classify it as a separate thing.

So with all of that said, how do you think they will justify Enid? Lofted RVs? The slabbed metal building? Tree/vegitation damage and scouring? Don’t get me wrong, I absolutely do like your optimism but I just don’t know how they’re going to pull it off. Now if the Enid tornado had lofted a massive multi-ton oil tank or something to that effect, I’d be singing a different tune.
 
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