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Severe weather threat 4/23/26 (Central/Southern Plains)

kcyalater said:
incredibly ominous sign of what’s to come, i’m afraid. it’s been a minute since we’ve seen an all-hazards string of 8-10 days of highly volatile atmospherics.
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Why do you always use really strong language in your posts on these events? Not every setup is the forbidden doomsday. Chill. I get you mean good but some of the wording just is really hyperbolic.
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
Why do you always use really strong language in your posts on these events? Not every setup is the forbidden doomsday. Chill. I get you mean good but some of the wording just is really hyperbolic.
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unless the modeling is a massive fail, we’re in for a very bad week. there’s no disputing that potential as the parameter space from the midwest to the deep south is off the charts. we’re again combining the thermodynamics of summer with the kinematic of spring, and that never ends well with proper troughing.
 
Muwx said:
I didn’t say it was a bust lol
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Think this is the perfect example of people jumping to conclusions too quick when someoen just simply observes a normal thing. Cells aren't sustaining well, and that was always the question. We shouldn't be afraid to discuss if event is underperforming. There is still plenty of time for this one of course, not once did @Muwx call it a bust.
 
kcyalater said:
unless the modeling is a massive fail, we’re in for a very bad week. there’s no disputing that potential as the parameter space from the midwest to the deep south is off the charts. we’re again combining the thermodynamics of summer with the kinematic of spring, and that never ends well with proper troughing.
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Well, there is still uncertainty over how Monday will develop, so i wouldn't jump to a potentially bad week yet. It's a potent day en route, but remember that failure modes can always appear with these events just like that. The devil is in the details, Rich Thompson once said
 
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