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Severe weather threat 4/23/26 (Central/Southern Plains)

eep said:
Anyways is anyone seeing the crazy supercell south of Lincoln NE? I wouldn't be surprised if that is on the ground tbh.
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GRLevel2 and WeatherWise both show fairly high Normalized Rotation (NROT) readings on that storm. I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up producing sometime soon.
 
Atomz said:
This might be a dumb question, but why isn't the Enhanced risk farther south in OK? I'm not questioning the SPC, just genuinely curious. It's it due to a lack of certainty with storm initiation? The thermo's and kinematics look pretty volatile.
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Yes. Lack of certainty on storms firing on the dryline has prohibited any further upgrades. But right now, it seems 50/50 we will see initiation, it just depends whether storms can mature and then we see the significant all hazards potential
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
Yes. Lack of certainty on storms firing on the dryline has prohibited any further upgrades. But right now, it seems 50/50 we will see initiation, it just depends whether storms can mature and then we see the significant all hazards potential
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Yeah, the most recent radiosonde in Norman looks troublesome. Genuinely worried the OKC Metro could get some nasty convection tonight if storms initiate.
 
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