Winter WX Snow Threat on Tuesday (Jan 16, 2018)

[The Colonel]

I gotta say the recent SREF plumes for BHM are meh. Trending drier overall....

I don’t quite see what the fuss is all about....yes it could flash freeze with anything that falls....but weren’t we in the teens for a bit before all heck broke loose in 2014?

 

[TileDude]

I gotta say the recent SREF plumes for BHM are meh. Trending drier overall....

I don’t quite see what the fuss is all about....yes it could flash freeze with anything that falls....but weren’t we in the teens for a bit before all heck broke loose in 2014?

Spann posted today that the day before the storm in 2014 the high in Bham was 53.

 

[The Colonel]

Here was the weather that week...temp wise from BHM

 

[Kory]

I gotta say the recent SREF plumes for BHM are meh. Trending drier overall....

I don’t quite see what the fuss is all about....yes it could flash freeze with anything that falls....but weren’t we in the teens for a bit before all heck broke loose in 2014?

You literally just stated what the fuss is all about.

 

[Kory]

Folks, this isn't going to be a go out and build a snowman type of storm. This is going to be a light snow/flurry type event that will permit just enough melting/refreezing on the roadways.

 

[MikeP]

Something tells me the SREF is slightly underdone based on trends to our NW. Hope I'm wrong....

 

[The Colonel]

Something tells me the SREF is slightly underdone based on trends to our NW. Hope I'm wrong....

Many of the models have shown that line diminishing once it’s into AL and then coming back together in some form below BHM. Ratios will be higher than 10:1 for sure...just have to wonder about the moisture overall.

 

[KoD]

Many of the models have shown that line diminishing once it’s into AL and then coming back together in some form below BHM. Ratios will be higher than 10:1 for sure...just have to wonder about the moisture overall.

Models have progged what seems to be a jet reconfiguration over north Alabama (leading to lower QPF totals in this area) for a couple day. What made them spontaneously able to predict such a fine detail fairly consistently and cooperatively? I haven't a clue. I just hope that doesn't happen

 

[StormStalker]

HUN considering upgrading to a WSW for some counties in NW Alabama based on whats going on upstream from here.

 

[WesL]

Check out those cloud tops cooling off coming into MS. Going to be an interesting night/morning.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=subregional-Dixie-14-48-1-250

 

[Ryan Sanders]

Temps this morning on the way in to work were in the upper 20s in East Walker Co. to 34 once I got downtown (Bham). Still have plenty hours to go before the precip arrives.

Once this starts, gonna stick very quickly.

 

[Richardjacks]

Water vapor showing lots of moisture heading our way
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-0-100#

 

[TuckerTerry]

Water vapor showing lots of moisture heading our way
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-0-100#

This is going to be an "over performer" as they like to say .....?

 

[Richardjacks]

This is going to be an "over performer" as they like to say .....?

probably in some areas, but hard to pinpoint where that will be

 

[chaser]

probably in some areas, but hard to pinpoint where that will be

Yep it will over perform...

Sent from my H1611 using Tapatalk

 

[Richardjacks]

probably in some areas, but hard to pinpoint where that will be

Let me clarify, I expect many of us in north and central Alabama to get 1-2", that would be overperforming by most models....just not sure beyond that

 

[Jason Ledbetter]

Little off topic but it would be nice to see folks referenc there specific area so we could distinguish between a area in Alabama and an area in Georgia and so on and so on. Don't bash me im just trying to keep up with whats going on! Sorry!

 

[Kory]

Roads already going to hell in the Shoals....

 

[Richardjacks]

12z NAM has the eastern edge of snow not going past Winston county as the line fades from the west. It looks like this is busting....first sign of overperforming

 

[TuckerTerry]

12z NAM has the eastern edge of now not going past Winston county as the line fades from the west. It looks like this is busting....first sign of overperforming

I am confused. You said it's busting ..and that's the first sign of overperforming? I'm learning, y'all. Please forgive my ignorance.