Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 10/31-11/2

Messages
64
Location
Huntsville
#64
With the NAM 3KM and the SREF showing 0-1KM SRH at 440-445( m2 s-2)over North Alabama between 19Z-21Z. That's up there. Will be watching for a spin up
 
Messages
1,853
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
#65
Looks like the batch of storms will cut off moisture transport further north tomorrow. HRRR/NAM 3KM has a QLCS complex moving east along and south of I-20/59.

This was something I was concerned about precluding a larger threat further north. Still a damaging wind/tor threat along and south of 20/59.
 
Messages
630
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
Storm Mapping User
#66
A potential caveat I'm seeing across the more significant risk area today is too many storms going up and interacting with each other. That will have to be watched closely.
 
Messages
1,853
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
#67
Expansion of the ENH risk. This looks particularly nasty for South/Central LA and into SW MS. There will be opportunity for discrete cells ahead of the main QLCS which will look to pose a tor/damaging wind threat itself.
 
Messages
630
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
Storm Mapping User
#78
Tornado warning on a discrete and very impressive looking supercell in TN near Jackson.

I'm getting worried this could be worse than advertised for areas north of I-20..
 

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