Severe Weather 2018

Discussion in 'General Weather Discussion' started by Taylor Campbell, Jan 23, 2018.

?

This severe weather season will be?

Poll closed Mar 1, 2018.
  1. Above Average

    7 vote(s)
    31.8%
  2. Average

    13 vote(s)
    59.1%
  3. Below Average

    2 vote(s)
    9.1%
  1. Taylor Campbell

    PerryW Project Supporter

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    What chasers?
     
  2. CheeselandSkies

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    I think this thread should be re-titled "What Severe Weather 2018?"
     
  3. Kory

    Kory Member

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    I just can’t believe how fast we went from record cold in April to record heat in May.
     
  4. Weatherphreak

    Weatherphreak Member

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    I joking told a client in April when it was 50 that we’d be in the mid 90s in mid May. Upside is my pool felt great this weekend.
     
  5. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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    Derecho in the DC/Richmond area???
     
  6. akt1985

    akt1985 Member

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    I heard on The Weather Channel this morning that the county Childress, Texas is in was under a severe thunderstorm warning for 4 hours on Sunday.
     
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  7. Taylor Campbell

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    There's a moderate risk in the northeast today. 60% wind probabilities.
     
  8. SilentShadow87

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    If the 2000 outlook hatches that risk area then we'll be looking at our first high risk of the year and probably the first ever high risk for the NY/MA area.
     
  9. CheeselandSkies

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    Blanket SVR out for much of the line in NY/NJ/CT notes storm motion of 110 MPH!
     
  10. warneagle

    warneagle Member

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    Slow-moving line to our north is probably dumping a ton of rain on places in northern MD/southern PA that got a good bit yesterday too.
     
  11. warneagle

    warneagle Member

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    Flash flood emergency in Frederick, MD.
     
  12. Fred Gossage

    Fred Gossage Member
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    NY/PA previously had a High Risk (the only one ever) in June or so of 1998. It was the day after the infamous Spencer, SD violent tornado.
     
  13. Equus

    Equus Member

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    Surprised they didn't go on and bump the 60 to 60 hatched given the magnitude of reports (though that would place a good bit of media attention on the high risk, it'd have been the first of the year) but also kinda surprised they went 60% wind. Obviously seemed justified in retrospect but 60% probs on anything is quite rare.

    Some impressive photos and videos going around this evening with wind damage and super threatening skies over the northeastern states.
     
  14. warneagle

    warneagle Member

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    Sounds like there might have been a meteotsunami along the New Jersey coast? That's one of those phenomena I've always found really fascinating.

    And yeah, we're getting dumped on here. Not as bad as further upstate where the storms just stalled.

    EDIT: Just saw from the local news that they've already gotten 6" in Frederick.
     
  15. Taylor Campbell

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    A lot of people injuried, and some killed from falling trees yesterday.
     
  16. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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    Cool aerial shot of the aftermath of a hail storm near Wellington, Colorado. Posted by 9 News Denver on their Facebook page, and they credit a viewer named Jane Carpenter.

    Great photograph

    [​IMG]
     

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  17. Taylor Campbell

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    That’s incredibly cool!
     
  18. DDM

    DDM Member

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    We had our first thunderstorm of the year today. Nothing to write home about but it's better than nothing. Still a month or two out from the usual period for any severe.
     
  19. Kory

    Kory Member

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    Severe storm swept through festival grounds at Bayou St. John in New Orleans. Stages have been blown over and live electrical wires are littering the ground. Widespread flooding is also occurring in metro NOLA.



     
  20. Taylor Campbell

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    There are many GFS ensembles showing a pretty active setup starting in June. The supercell composite numbers are pretty high.
     

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