Severe Weather 2018

This severe weather season will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%
  • Average

    Votes: 13 59.1%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 2 9.1%

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
Messages
317
Location
Coosa county
Both GFS and Euro are coming into agreement that the synoptics of the system next weekend could be a potent system. The Euro is about a day slower than the GFS. Instability at this point is still low.
 
Messages
317
Location
Coosa county
12z GFS has trended toward the Euro in terms of slowing the system down. This let's low level moisture climb more than previous runs. Still looks like a very dangerous setup if instability continues to increase.
 
Messages
502
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
Storm Mapping User
Things just didn't really line up with this pattern in the manner they seemed to be back at the beginning of the month. We had multiple systems come through, but they just didn't line up quite right. There's still time for a larger scale event to take place but that window is shrinking before the pattern shifts out to the plains (And even there its a little iffy at the moment)

Really shows how difficult it is to get a big outbreak pattern. So many things have to line up just right, and that hasn't happened really at all ever since 2014.
 
Messages
114
Location
jackson tennessee
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
Things just didn't really line up with this pattern in the manner they seemed to be back at the beginning of the month. We had multiple systems come through, but they just didn't line up quite right. There's still time for a larger scale event to take place but that window is shrinking before the pattern shifts out to the plains (And even there its a little iffy at the moment)

Really shows how difficult it is to get a big outbreak pattern. So many things have to line up just right, and that hasn't happened really at all ever since 2014.
Yeah. As a big severe wx freak.... this pattern blows ....
 
Messages
46
Location
Mountain in East, AL
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
University of Alabama severe weather survey... Takes about 10 minutes or so

Dr. Laura Myers from the University of Alabama is conducting a study called "Using Vulnerability as Empirical Data to Improve Forecast and Warning Services".
This study is in conjunction with the VORTEX SE 2017-18 research initiative on southeastern tornadoes, specifically in Northern Alabama. This study is a continuation of the Vortex 2017-18 Household Study that focused on the Spring 2017-18 severe weather season.
https://universityofalabama.az1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_eDqc92CgvYOyPuR
 
Messages
114
Location
jackson tennessee
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
Things just didn't really line up with this pattern in the manner they seemed to be back at the beginning of the month. We had multiple systems come through, but they just didn't line up quite right. There's still time for a larger scale event to take place but that window is shrinking before the pattern shifts out to the plains (And even there its a little iffy at the moment)

Really shows how difficult it is to get a big outbreak pattern. So many things have to line up just right, and that hasn't happened really at all ever since 2014.
Wouldn’t say we’re seeing a shrinking window of opportunity for us here in Dixie midsouth region ... this pattern we been stuck could delay things , causing run behind... think late this month into better part may .. we going have some opportunity for a large scale severe event here... before things migrate to the plains late may june....
 

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