• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

This severe weather season will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%
  • Average

    Votes: 13 59.1%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 2 9.1%

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .

Taylor Campbell

Moderator
Moderator
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
2,110
Reaction score
2,208
Location
Wedowee, AL
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Any update on the weekend system? I know a couple mentioned it was going to be the bigger threat this week.

The bigger threat this week is going to be tomorrow, and then we have probably the biggest of them all coming next Monday or sometime next week.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,119
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Pay attention to this Friday/Saturday. Models have been slowing down the system which permits better instability to work into AL. Very strong kinematics over sufficient instability would probably yield yet another severe weather episode. Uncertainty still exists, but the trends have been toward better instability overlapping strong shear.
 
Messages
587
Reaction score
411
Location
St. Catharines, Ontario
Pay attention to this Friday/Saturday. Models have been slowing down the system which permits better instability to work into AL. Very strong kinematics over sufficient instability would probably yield yet another severe weather episode. Uncertainty still exists, but the trends have been toward better instability overlapping strong shear.
Am I right in saying that next week is still looking like the bigger threat? For some reason I can't see any of the models right now. My internet has been awful generally lately.
 
Messages
1,056
Reaction score
1,278
Location
jackson tennessee
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Am I right in saying that next week is still looking like the bigger threat? For some reason I can't see any of the models right now. My internet has been awful generally lately.
Yeah Friday 13th area still looking quite ominous. Potent shortwave diving from Rockies with plent deep
Moisture and instability out ahead...
Possibly looking at a multi day threat down the road
 

rolltide_130

Member
Messages
828
Reaction score
378
Location
Harvest, Alabama
Special Affiliations
We need to start preparing for a potentially high risk event about 8-9 days from today. This is BAD.

500h_mslp.conus.png



850w.conus.png
 
Messages
2,832
Reaction score
4,555
Location
Madison, WI
Those are some pretty gnarly backed 850s along or just south of the WI/IL border, assuming thermos cooperate. Heck, verbatim this has Palm Sunday '65 redux potential. Of course, knowing my luck the system will slow down just enough to put the main action on Saturday afternoon/evening, which is my mom's birthday.
 
Messages
2,832
Reaction score
4,555
Location
Madison, WI
Whoa...am I the only one who gets a slight Palm Sunday '65 vibe from this? I'm obviously not saying we'll see a mega-outbreak like that, but this is looking nasty right now. Holy crap.

I did too. The late-season snowfall in parts of the affected area is another parallel, although that year as I recall reading Michigan actually got a significant blizzard a few days before the outbreak.
 
Logo 468x120
Back
Top