CMC, GFS, and EURO are completely different first few days of February. CMC wants to cut off, GFS wants to dig trough further east, and the EURO wants to dig it deep in the west. I’m not sure what EURO, and CMC ensembles show, but I do know that the GFS has some ensembles in favor of the operational EURO. Should the operational EURO, and few GFS ensembles transpire then we will have a pretty active pattern for severe weather setting up soon.