Archive Severe threat April 26-27, 2011

[TW Archive]

pscampbe
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:20 PM

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2011/md0589.html

PDS tornado watch is imminent for the ARKLATEX region.
Edited by andyhb, 28 December 2012 - 07:36 PM.

 

[TW Archive]

Tim
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:23 PM

sutton82, on 26 April 2011 - 12:56 PM, said:

I'll name him. Brad Huffines. He's terrible.

The only fly in the ointment I see for n. AL tomorrow is morning convection. It seems like it always hangs around longer than expected.

There could be an EF2 tornado crossing I565 and Brad would say. "Well, it looks kinda windy out there today folks...so...allow yourself a little extra time on your drive home to Madison or Decatur this afternoon". He WAY UNDERPLAYS the risk of severe weather for north Alabama tomorrow, IMHO!!

To be fair to Huffines, are the people in charge of the newscast telling him to "town it down, our average audience is 70 years old and we don't want to scare them to death".

Dan will be out of town until late in the day on Wednesday...according to his facebook status update.
Edited by Tim, 26 April 2011 - 04:29 PM.

 

[TW Archive]

smokedevil
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:24 PM

weatherguy, on 26 April 2011 - 01:09 PM, said:

Dr. Greg Forbes updated north Alabama from a 7 the other day to a new forecast of 8 or 9 for Wednesday (That forecast is 90% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any point in north AL):

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/torcon-daily-forecast_2011-03-24

whoa...I see i'm in a 9 as well.

 

[TW Archive]

Snowowl
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:31 PM

Tim, on 26 April 2011 - 01:23 PM, said:

There could be an EF2 tornado crossing I565 and Brad would say. "Well, it looks kinda windy out there today folks...so...allow yourself a little extra time on your drive home to Madison or Decatur this afternoon". When I watched him this morning, he WAY UNDERPLAYED the risk of severe weather for north Alabama tomorrow, IMHO!!

To be fair to Huffines, are the people in charge of the newscast telling him to "town it down, our average audience is 70 years old and we don't want to scare them to death".

Dan will be out of town until late in the day on Wednesday...according to his facebook status update.

Huffines posted this todaylease remember, even in 'outbreaks', tornadoes are still random and fairly rare. Remain aware, avoid panic-spreaders

 

[TW Archive]

smokedevil
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM

Car wrecks are pretty random and rare as well. Doesnt mean i'm gonna crash into a wall and hope for the best.

 

[TW Archive]

trency911
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM

Snowowl, on 26 April 2011 - 01:31 PM, said:

Huffines posted this todaylease remember, even in 'outbreaks', tornadoes are still random and fairly rare. Remain aware, avoid panic-spreaders.

Is this guy a met?

 

[TW Archive]

mwbwhorton
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM

Tim

, on 26 April 2011 - 01:23 PM, said:

There could be an EF2 tornado crossing I565 and Brad would say. "Well, it looks kinda windy out there today folks...so...allow yourself a little extra time on your drive home to Madison or Decatur this afternoon". When I watched him this morning, he WAY UNDERPLAYED the risk of severe weather for north Alabama tomorrow, IMHO!!

To be fair to Huffines, are the people in charge of the newscast telling him to "town it down, our average audience is 70 years old and we don't want to scare them to death".

Dan will be out of town until late in the day on Wednesday...according to his facebook status update.

image if this guy had been in charge in little rock last night......

 

[TW Archive]

sutton82
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:38 PM

trency911, on 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM, said:

Is this guy a met?

He is hoping to get his degree sometime next year.

I have noticed that dewpoints are near 68 degrees. How much are they expected to rise before tomorrow afternoon?

 

[TW Archive]

Tim
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:43 PM

Snowowl, on 26 April 2011 - 01:31 PM, said:

Huffines posted this todaylease remember, even in 'outbreaks', tornadoes are still random and fairly rare. Remain aware, avoid panic-spreaders.

Damn, what an insane comment to say to the "does not really keep up with the weather" general public. Why do I picture Kevin Bacon in Animal House shouting "remain calm...all is well".

 

[TW Archive]

Kolle
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:47 PM

trency911, on 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM, said:

Is this guy a met?

I believe Huffines and WAAY-TV have managed to exploit a niche market in Huntsville weather coverage: The ignorant and unconcerned market. In most television markets, the average viewer just wants to know what he should wear tomorrow, and whether to bring an umbrella with him. Most that have lived in Huntsville for any length of time know better, but for those who do not, WAAY is there for them.

 

[TW Archive]

Snowowl
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:48 PM

trency911, on 26 April 2011 - 01:35 PM, said:

Is this guy a met?

And he has been one for a very long time. Even did work for CNN during hurricanes

 

[TW Archive]

steveklein
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:49 PM

first showers are just now showing up on radar back in the arklatex. i'm sure it is muggy as can be out there. what a powder keg... i wonder how long it will take these first few sprinkles to go SVR and then TOR...

 

[TW Archive]

SWL
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:52 PM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF WACO
TEXAS TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 213...WW 214...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST TX...SPREADING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. OTHER INTENSE STORMS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY
EVENING OVER NORTHEAST TX AND ALSO SPREAD EASTWARD. BOTH AREAS OF
SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY INCLUDE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. WIND FIELDS WILL
BE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE EVENING...AND STORMS TRACKING NEAR THE
EXISTING BOUNDARY FROM TX INTO AR WILL HAVE ENHANCED SHEAR AND THE
RISK OF STRONG/LONG-LIVED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.

Edited by andyhb, 28 December 2012 - 05:18 PM.

 

[TW Archive]

sutton82
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:53 PM

Man, check out the probs on that new watch!

 

[TW Archive]

JAETomcat
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:55 PM

Those probs are insane. Crazy 48 hrs ahead of us.

 

[TW Archive]

trency911
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:56 PM

Those probs are sick man.

 

[TW Archive]

Blizzard1
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:57 PM

Snowowl, on 26 April 2011 - 01:31 PM, said:

Huffines posted this todaylease remember, even in 'outbreaks', tornadoes are still random and fairly rare. Remain aware, avoid panic-spreaders.

Raising the issue of a legitimate threat we have such as the one tomorrow isn't being a "panic-spreader" it's being realistic. My advice to Mr Huffines would be to avoid ostriches!
Edited by Blizzard1, 26 April 2011 - 01:58 PM.

 

[TW Archive]

mwbwhorton
Posted 26 April 2011 - 01:58 PM

all i can say is yikes especially with the probability of one or more f4-f5 tornadoes at 90%

 

[TW Archive]

djbarker
Posted 26 April 2011 - 02:01 PM

mwbwhorton, on 26 April 2011 - 01:58 PM, said:

all i can say is yikes especially with the probability of one or more f4-f5 EF2-EF5 tornadoes at 90%

FTFY

 

[TW Archive]

mbrewer
Posted 26 April 2011 - 02:04 PM

steveklein, on 26 April 2011 - 01:49 PM, said:

first showers are just now showing up on radar back in the arklatex. i'm sure it is muggy as can be out there. what a powder keg... i wonder how long it will take these first few sprinkles to go SVR and then TOR...

The Shreveport 1pm balloon sounding shows a convective temperature of 77, which is what they are near right now. It's about to get interesting.