Tropical Storm Remnants Formally Known as Beryl (Atlantic)

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by JayF, Jul 5, 2018.

  1. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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  2. WesL

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    As of the 2:30pm update, we have Tropical Storm Beryl!

    2:30 PM AST Thu Jul 5
    Location: 10.3°N 42.3°W
    Moving: W at 16 mph
    Min pressure: 1007 mb
    Max sustained: 40 mph
     
    #2 WesL, Jul 5, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 5, 2018
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  3. MattW

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    Unless I've missed it, the GFS doesn't seem to have Beryl at all.
     
  4. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    GFS has it you just have to go out into the Western Atlantic for right now.

    sfcwind_mslp.png
     
  5. Equus

    Equus Member

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    Apparently this tiny little thing, no bigger than a smaller end thunderstorm complex, is now a hurricane as per ATCF, with a tiny little eye showing up on IR. First usage of Beryl to name a hurricane and one of the earlier western MDR hurricanes we've seen.

    [​IMG]
     
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  6. Mike S

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  7. Kory

    Kory Member

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    Color me absolutely shocked. Great upper level conditions ahead of this microcane prior to the Caribbean islands. Beyond that, it's anybody's guess.
     
  8. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    GFS has Beryl dissipating between Monday night and Tuesday morning. Heavy Rainfall and some wind will affect Puerto Rico.


    95LMonday.png
     
  9. South AL Wx

    South AL Wx Member
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    Beryl is a tenacious little hurricane. It is now expected to still be a hurricane near the Lesser Antilles, and NHC now has a peak intensity of 100 mph.

    ...BRAZEN BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER...
    ...NOW FORECAST TO STILL BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
    ANTILLES...

    NHC now doesn't have it dissipating until it is around Hispaniola. From their discussion:

    The cyclone is
    also now likely to persist beyond the 72-hour forecast point, and a
    96-hour point has therefore been added to the official forecast,
    showing Beryl near or over Hispaniola by day 4. By that point,
    either increased shear or the terrain of Hispaniola would likely
    lead to dissipation. But we shall see.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Taylor Campbell

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    Lol this is crazy!
     
  11. KoD

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    Wow that thing is tiny!
     
  12. Equus

    Equus Member

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    [​IMG]
    This tiny thing is so bizarre. If it avoids the SAL in its own little moist pocket with the upper anticyclone, I wouldn't be shocked at this point if it briefly hits major status. It's moving pretty fast so upwelling in decent SST's won't be an issue. Hope it threads the gap between islands because I'm sure there is a lot of post-Maria unease going on right now. It also really likes a westward trajectory right now; the point where it turns WNW will be important in deciding which islands to warn
     
  13. Mike S

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    GOES 16 is kinda cool

     
  14. KoD

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    It sure is interesting watching this thing barrel towards the Antilles.
     
  15. MattW

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    18z GFS has an interesting solution. Beryl dissipates south of Puerto Rico, but then a piece of energy goes north and blows back up into something about where TD3 is now and follows TD3 (and whatever it forms into).
     
  16. WesL

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    Could this be the beginning of the end for the "Little Storm That Could?" Stay tuned kids, same bat time, same bat channel.


    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 9
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018
    1100 AM AST Sat Jul 07 2018

    ...BERYL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.1N 51.1W
    ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
     
  17. Mike S

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  18. KoD

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    [​IMG]

    One of the oddest wind history profiles I've seen
     

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