Tropical Storm Post-Tropical Cyclone Gert (NO THREAT TO LAND)

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by Taylor Campbell, Aug 3, 2017.

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  1. Taylor Campbell

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  2. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    This one definitely has my attention. Very healthy looking wave. Euro is unimpressed (when is it not) but the GFS/GEFS are all over it.
     
  3. Taylor Campbell

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    Last night we had all, but the EURO develop it in about 72 to 84 hours. That includes GFS, NOGAPS, CMC, and UKMET. Also, I heard the majority of the EURO ensembles disagreed with last night's op run, and you have the 12z run of the EURO yesterday having it.
     
  4. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    From what I saw the 0z EPS kills it into the eastern carribbean then redevelops in the Gulf with a bunch of Texas hits.

    Can't get the map to pull up here at work or I'd share it.

    Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
     
  5. Taylor Campbell

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    [​IMG]
     
  6. Taylor Campbell

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    Those model forecast on the left are much further south than most of the GFS ensembles on the right.
     
  7. Taylor Campbell

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  8. apocalyptic_pleasures

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    Last 5 GEFS runs for next Saturday evening 8/12 seem to show more of an agreement on a system being being tracked thru 9 days. Also seem to be hinting more in the last few runs that 90L may develop in the Western Gulf

    [​IMG]
     
  9. Taylor Campbell

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    There was a shift south on the GFS tracks last night as you can see in the image posted above. EURO still doesn't do much with it. NAVGEM appears to be more in camp with the EURO. It is not as weak, but definitely weaker than the GFS, and CMC. The two also keep it further south, and have it hitting the islands.
     
  10. Taylor Campbell

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    The GFS is now much weaker, and has it hitting the islands.
     
  11. Taylor Campbell

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    [​IMG]
     
  12. Taylor Campbell

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    There continues to be less GFS ensembles showing a storm. The NAVGEM is as pathetic with the wave as the EURO is now.
     
  13. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    Yeah. I was hoping this would work out to clear the pattern out a bit for the eclipse but alas looks like we'll have to rely on the h southeast Ridge for that.

    Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
     
  14. apocalyptic_pleasures

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  15. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    Of course NOW the Euro jumps on board.

    12z OP more or less dropped it but the EPS still has numerous members develop off the coast. Couple majors/near majors.
     
  16. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    EPS/Euro not giving up on this one. Could see a decent storm ride up the coast late next week.
     
  17. Brax

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    It's looking more lively on WV today... Looks like it may be feeding on Franklin in order to get more moist air around the center. If it can get rid of the dry air it's definitely over water that would be conducive to intensification.
     
  18. akt1985

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    What will The Weather Channel do if there is a hurricane on the East Coast the same day as the total eclipse?
     
  19. Tyler Penland

    Tyler Penland Mountain Snow Miser
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    This wave will be long gone by then so unless another crops up we should be clear for that.

    I hope.
     
  20. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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    We have Gert
     

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