Post Analysis - 3/9/19 (1 Viewer)

KoD

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#1
I think it would be beneficial to everyone to reflect on each potential weather scenario and discuss what went right and what went wrong with the forecast and predictions. Hopefully we can get a trend of post-event analysis threads going and the wiser Mets can help us amateurs understand how reality differed from the models.
Regarding the severe threat for March 9th, what elements of the forecast were predicted correctly? What impeded a worst case scenario from unfolding? Lack of surface based storms seems to be a big one Matt G eluded to earlier. The timing of the convection also didn't seem to play out as CAM's were suggesting.
What are your thoughts?

(Keep in mind there's still elevated & severe thunderstorms ongoing during the creation on this thread, please discuss that here)
 

WesL

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#2
I'm going to throw this in (it isn't to start an argument) but I was watching Spencer Denton out of Memphis during the first part of the event. He seemed frustrated, as did many of our members, that Memphis was taking a bit longer than usual to issue Tornado Warnings. Any ideas why?
 

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