Archive Former Major Hurricane Jose

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by JayF, Aug 31, 2017.

  1. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is moving westward
    at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more
    conducive for some development over the weekend while the system
    moves well south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


    New Development.png
     
  2. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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  3. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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  4. Brent

    Brent Moderator
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    Jose?

    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
    Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Satellite data
    indicate that this system is already producing winds near tropical
    storm force. There is a strong likelihood that a tropical depression
    or tropical storm will form within the next few days while the
    disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
    tropical Atlantic Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
     
  5. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    Jose just named.
     
  6. WesL

    WesL Administrator
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    11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 5
    Location: 12.3°N 39.1°W
    Moving: WNW at 13 mph
    Min pressure: 1008 mb
    Max sustained: 40 mph
     
  7. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    Also predicted to be a major, but out to sea. Surely Irma has roughed up enough of the atmosphere to prevent Jose' from following along.
     
  8. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    Models for TS Jose


    storm_94.gif
     
  9. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    Next update Jose should be a Hurricane.
     
  10. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    Let's pray he stays the course he's on.
     
  11. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    Now a hurricane.
     
  12. Brent

    Brent Moderator
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    240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...
     
    Ellen likes this.
  13. Ellen

    Ellen Member

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    I have been with you guys for a while and so glad you are back on! I noticed the loop too and was wondering how likely that this will happen.
     
  14. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    My God ... I thought they said it was going to stay out to sea. Not to mention Irma has surely sucked up most of the energy in those waters ...
     
  15. Jason Ledbetter

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    Holy crap...
     
  16. TuckerTerry

    TuckerTerry Member

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    Hurricane watches just went up for Antigua and Barbuda
     
  17. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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    Jose should be a major by tomorrow according to the NHC
     
  18. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    Euro 240 Run with Jose nearing Florida. Wow if this actually happens.

    Jose European 240 Run.png
     
  19. KoD

    KoD Member
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    Yeah really! GFS vs. Euro once again. If Jose loopty-loops and strikes the US mainland my jaw will be on the floor.
     
  20. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    ...JOSE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.2N 51.4W
    ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
    * Antigua and Barbuda

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
    * Saba and St. Eustatius
     

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