Former Invest 92L Carolinas

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by Taylor Campbell, Aug 16, 2017.

Tags:
  1. Taylor Campbell

    PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    327
    Likes Received:
    83
    Location:
    Wedowee, AL
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    Thread for Invest 92L.
     
  2. Taylor Campbell

    PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    327
    Likes Received:
    83
    Location:
    Wedowee, AL
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    We are going to have to watch this one closely as it looks to have the best shot at a US landfall.
     
  3. Brent

    Brent Moderator
    Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    111
    Likes Received:
    18
    Location:
    DFW Texas
    0z CMC has a significant hurricane into the FL Panhandle at 240 hours

    UKMET is almost a hurricane at 144 hours entering the Bahamas on a track towards S FL/Gulf

    This *may* get interesting
     
  4. Taylor Campbell

    PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    327
    Likes Received:
    83
    Location:
    Wedowee, AL
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    The CMC forecast strengthening in an environment characterized by unfavorably dry air, and shear. That's baloney! Just maybe depending on how well it holds up similar to 99L that eventually became Gert, it could develop when it gets closer to the U.S. Noted on some CMC, EURO, and GFS ensembles.
     
  5. presteezywx

    presteezywx Member

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2017
    Messages:
    2
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Chandler, TX
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    We'll see how 92L handles this shear overnight.
     
  6. stormcentral

    stormcentral Member
    2000th Post

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2017
    Messages:
    134
    Likes Received:
    14
    Location:
    Chattanooga, TN
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    Now code red. Development up to 70%
     
  7. WesL

    WesL Administrator
    Staff Member Administrator PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    1,170
    Likes Received:
    630
    Location:
    Huntsville, AL
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer, Storm Mapping User
     
  8. MattW

    MattW Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    50
    Likes Received:
    12
    Location:
    Decatur, GA
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer
    HAM Callsign:
    KG4GUF
    The gulf? Uh...I'm no expert, but only one of those model tracks actually approaches the gulf...what am I missing?
     
  9. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
    Staff Member Administrator Moderator PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    737
    Likes Received:
    302
    Location:
    Huntsville, Al
    Just one model showing a Gulf impact out of several that curve up the east coast. i.e., it is an outlier. Obviously things could change and JP qualifies his statement by saying "less likely"(unlike one of his competitors who likes to make definitive statements on things like this many days ahead of time).
     
  10. WesL

    WesL Administrator
    Staff Member Administrator PerryW Project Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    1,170
    Likes Received:
    630
    Location:
    Huntsville, AL
    Special Affiliations:
    SKYWARN® Volunteer, Storm Mapping User
    Invest 92L is back in the Atlantic and is now upgraded to Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten. Expected to become Irma soon.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...31.0N 80.7W
    ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
     
  11. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
    Staff Member Administrator Technical Admin

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2017
    Messages:
    336
    Likes Received:
    74
    Location:
    Hartselle, al
    Removed Sticky Since this was removed from the NHC page.
     
  12. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
    Staff Member Administrator Technical Admin

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2017
    Messages:
    336
    Likes Received:
    74
    Location:
    Hartselle, al
    Hurricane Force Winds in this storm. DIksZDjXYAMiRMM.jpg
     

Share This Page