I'm gonna cut the middle and put my guess at 180 EF4. There's not enough information yet to say higher end, but the damage is fairly substantial and I think a rating past 170 is more than likely.
Nope; we're all (at least the servers I frequent) in agreement that it was at the bare minimum an EF4 in intensity. Way too early to have a structural determination but contextuals are definitely extreme.
The SPC isn't trying to appeal to the general population audience though. They're a federal agency. The SPC is designed to do in-depth, analytical forecasts with scientific terms and complex data. The local meteorologists can then translate those forecasts into something digestible by their viewing audience.
IIRC there's a video of a whole home being picked up, so if they decide to try that excuse, there's a counter to it.
Interestingly enough, in the KPAC livestream I was watching of the aerial video of damage, much of the comments I saw were "nothing here says EF4" and whatnot (there were a lot of EF5 people too) which was pretty jarring to me, to say the least. Contextuals such as this simply do not come from an EF3 caliber tornado, that's pretty absurd.
Ah yes, the tried and true Elie counterattack.
Yeah, the news footage for this thing will go down in history as some of the best tornado footage. Incredible footage of this thing.
Please continue to be the voice of reason/sanity in those discord chats. You're doing a service. I don't think I'd last long in that position before throwing a fist through my monitor lmao
Bolded is fair but sure seems like everyone wants to hold them responsible when they dont feel the general public was appropriately warned.... and in yesterdays case, I think to say the SPC "failed significantly" would have to mean the local mets responsible for interpreting that info and then passing the information along to the public were completely off bc of the SPC forecast and that most definitely was not the case. Between the disco, the graphics, and the tornado watches the SPC outlook was pretty clear there was a conditional strong tornado risk yesterday which is exactly what verified.
The eastern half of today's 5% is Entergy service area.
Perhaps, but theres been plenty of CMU foundations that have been rated ef4 before.
I think yesterday was pretty obviously more than a conditional strong tornado threat though. They have been putting cig 1 tors on crashing cold fronts…. Yesterday was in a completely different universe but they both still got cig 1. Doesn’t add up.
