Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[Grand Poo Bah]

While this storm was a pain in the rear end to track here in northern IL/IN, this is truly one of the most unique storm systems I believe in quite some time, due to how far this line of storms extends. Truly incredible indeed.

I took this screenshot after a pretty notable tornado bu$t last year. Was the biggest QLCS I had ever seen.

 

[joshoctober16]

oh god this is going to be a bad one.

 

[US_Highway15]

It has been thundering here for the past hour near Nappanee and we haven't been even close to the storms to the north. Absolutely crazy.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Could this possibly pull the trigger on a high-risk day?

Yes. And you should be very confident in this prediction of mine because I am definitely not wrong way more than i'm right. Yep. All my predictions come true.

(this is sarcasm)

 

[Kds86z]

 

[US_Highway15]

Could this possibly pull the trigger for a high-risk day?

I don't see them adding a high-risk, unless the LLJ is high-risk worthy. Just my gut feeling. Adding a 15% though for tornadoes? Absolutely, 100%.

 

[atrainguy]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[AJS]

I knew these tweets were coming.

 

[Jbop]

I knew these tweets were coming

At least it wasn't from Reed

 

[Kds86z]

At least it wasn't from Reed

Yeah Brad Arnold chaser.

 

[atrainguy]

Ryan Hall showing another TDS south of Whitneyville, MI.

 

[US_Highway15]

Fine, I'll say it. I'm quite jealous of the MCS Michigan has right now.

 

[atrainguy]

You know, for as much flack as Ryan Hall gets sometimes, it is nice having his livestream to listen to as I’m doing janitor work directly in the path of this storm. Easy to keep track of what I might be in for soon as I’m working.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TornadoFan]

There's a TDS moving into Battle Creek.

 

[andyhb]

Good chance tomorrow is a 500+ severe report day IMO given the mix of modes, very strong deep layer shear, and high instability over a large region. All three hazards could have significant events too.

Tornado threat will be contingent on the degree of veering of the surface winds. Should they stay anything close to southerly, it could be very nasty in that department.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]