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Tropical Depression Tropical Depression Cindy

Do you think Bret will develop?

  • Yes

    Votes: 11 84.6%
  • No

    Votes: 2 15.4%

  • Total voters
    13

WesL

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Just going to leave this eye-witness report here.
 

WesL

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CODNEXLAB-GOES16-Visible-15:07Z-20170621_512-533-10-100.gif
I think I'm in love with GOES-16
 
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Taylor Campbell

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Beautiful. It has a robust northwestern side. Models forecast it to strengthen slightly today, and as it makes it closer to landfall. It's at 60 mph now.
 
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Taylor Campbell

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Beautiful. It has a robust northwestern side. Models forecast it to strengthen slightly today, and as it makes it closer to landfall. It's at 60 mph now.

Sorry. It's actually weakened according to the NHC. Down to 50 mph.
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
100 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...CINDY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE GULF COAST...
...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 92.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to the mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 92.9 West. Cindy is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (14 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue today. A turn toward the north-northwest and
then toward the north is expected tonight and Thursday. On the
forecast track, the center of Cindy will approach the coast of
southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas late today or tonight, and
move inland over southeastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana on
Thursday.

Surface observations and reports from an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are
near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength
is expected before landfall, with weakening expected thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
mainly to the north and east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 995 mb (29.38 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday. This
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 7
inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee and
Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of 3 to 5
inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area today through
Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today through tonight from
the western Florida Panhandle across southwest Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Continue reading...
 

KoD

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Quite a consistent amount of rotation on several storms, sure is fascinating to see with such small, lower reflectivity storms.
 

Titan

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Missed me here, but there was definitely rotation aloft that seemed to ramp up as it moved to the NW. This is looking N toward Foley as it passed.
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
400 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM CINDY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 93.2W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to the mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 93.2 West. Cindy is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northwest is expected tonight and Thursday, with a turn toward
the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the center
of Cindy will move inland over southeastern Texas or southwestern
Louisiana late tonight or early Thursday, then move near or over
extreme eastern Texas, western and northern Louisiana, and
southeastern Arkansas Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with
weakening expected thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on observations from
oil rigs near the center is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these
areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area this afternoon
through Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible into tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Taylor Campbell

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One of the best tornado signatures from this system has just recently shown up.
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
700 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 93.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to the mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 93.3 West. Cindy is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northwest is expected tonight and Thursday, with a turn toward
the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the center
of Cindy will move inland over southeastern Texas or southwestern
Louisiana early Thursday, then move near or over extreme eastern
Texas, western and northern Louisiana, and southeastern Arkansas
Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with
weakening expected thereafter. An elevated oil platform located
southwest of the center recently reported a wind gust of 75 mph.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent observations
from oil rigs near the center is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these
areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area this evening
through Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Continue reading...
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 93.4W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Grand
Isle, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 93.4 West. Cindy is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn
toward the north should occur by Thursday morning, with a turn
toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track,
the center of Cindy will move inland near the Louisiana-Texas border
early Thursday, then move across western and northern Louisiana and
into southeastern Arkansas Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with
weakening occurring thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent observations
from oil rigs near the center is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these
areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area through Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Continue reading...
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 10...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Corrected location information in Summary

...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 93.4W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Grand
Isle, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 93.4 West. Cindy is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn
toward the north should occur by Thursday morning, with a turn
toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track,
the center of Cindy will move inland near the Louisiana-Texas border
early Thursday, then move across western and northern Louisiana and
into southeastern Arkansas Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with
weakening occurring thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent observations
from oil rigs near the center is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these
areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area through Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Continue reading...
 

KoD

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Looks like a relatively low precipitation landfall is coming up
 

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
100 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...CINDY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 93.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle Louisiana

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 93.6 West. Cindy is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn
toward the north should occur later this morning, with a turn
toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the
center of Cindy will move inland near the Louisiana-Texas border
later this morning, then move across western and northern Louisiana
and into southeastern Arkansas tonight and early Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Weakening is expected today and tonight while Cindy
moves over land.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through tonight. This
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through tonight. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
400 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...CINDY MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 93.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued east of Morgan City
Louisiana and west of High Island Texas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
Radar and surface observations indicate that Cindy made landfall
between Cameron, Louisiana and Port Arthur, Texas within the last
couple of hours.

At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 93.6 West. Cindy is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn toward
the north-northeast is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward
the northeast on Friday. On the forecast track, the center will
move into southeastern Arkansas early Friday, and into Tennessee
later on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours, and Cindy should weaken to a tropical depression later
today, and become a remnant low tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
to the southeast and southwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce rain accumulations of 3 to 6
inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 12 inches over eastern
Texas, western and central Louisiana and southern and eastern
Arkansas through Friday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over southern
Mississippi, southern and central Alabama and extreme western
Florida Panhandle are expected through Friday morning. This
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas.

Rainfall is expected to begin and expand across parts of the
Tennessee and Ohio valleys. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches are expected through Friday
morning.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area. These conditions should subside
in a few hours.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through tonight from the
lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valley regions to the central Gulf
Coast.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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